Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate typical midsummer conditions for Wuhan on August 25, with nighttime lows projected near 25–27°C amid high humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with climatological baselines where August minima rarely drop below 23°C or exceed 30°C without unusual frontal activity or heavy rain cooling the boundary layer. The near-even market odds on extremes (≤23°C or ≥33°C) capture residual uncertainty in local factors such as urban heat island effects, exact cloud cover, or steering patterns that could shift the daily minimum by several degrees. Updated regional model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten trader consensus around the most probable 25–27°C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日武漢最低氣溫?
23°C or below 95%
30°C 47%
32°C 47%
33°C or higher 46%
23°C or below
95%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
24%
30°C
47%
31°C
1%
32°C
47%
33°C or higher
46%
23°C or below 95%
30°C 47%
32°C 47%
33°C or higher 46%
23°C or below
95%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
24%
30°C
47%
31°C
1%
32°C
47%
33°C or higher
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate typical midsummer conditions for Wuhan on August 25, with nighttime lows projected near 25–27°C amid high humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with climatological baselines where August minima rarely drop below 23°C or exceed 30°C without unusual frontal activity or heavy rain cooling the boundary layer. The near-even market odds on extremes (≤23°C or ≥33°C) capture residual uncertainty in local factors such as urban heat island effects, exact cloud cover, or steering patterns that could shift the daily minimum by several degrees. Updated regional model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten trader consensus around the most probable 25–27°C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions