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icon for Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁?

Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁?

icon for Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁?

Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁?

5% 機率
Polymarket

$16,756 交易量

5% 機率
Polymarket

$16,756 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Nechirvan Barzani continues to serve as Kurdistan Region President amid active engagement in federal government formation talks and regional diplomacy. In early May 2026, he conducted meetings in Baghdad with Coordination Framework leaders and congratulated the incoming prime minister, while reaffirming the Kurdistan Region’s commitment to constitutional cooperation and Peshmerga unification. These steps align with ongoing coalition negotiations among Kurdish parties and broader stability efforts following Iraq’s recent political transition. No legislative moves, party challenges, or term-limit triggers have emerged to disrupt his position, which rests on KDP leadership dynamics and institutional continuity established since his 2019 election. Traders therefore assign strong implied probability to his retention through the current cycle.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$16,756
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Mar 6, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Nechirvan Barzani continues to serve as Kurdistan Region President amid active engagement in federal government formation talks and regional diplomacy. In early May 2026, he conducted meetings in Baghdad with Coordination Framework leaders and congratulated the incoming prime minister, while reaffirming the Kurdistan Region’s commitment to constitutional cooperation and Peshmerga unification. These steps align with ongoing coalition negotiations among Kurdish parties and broader stability efforts following Iraq’s recent political transition. No legislative moves, party challenges, or term-limit triggers have emerged to disrupt his position, which rests on KDP leadership dynamics and institutional continuity established since his 2019 election. Traders therefore assign strong implied probability to his retention through the current cycle.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$16,756
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Mar 6, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "尼奇爾萬·巴爾扎尼將不再擔任庫爾德自治區政府總統?" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 5¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 5% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁?" has generated $16.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁?" is "尼奇爾萬·巴爾扎尼將不再擔任庫爾德自治區政府總統?" at just 5%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Nechirvan Barzani出任庫爾德斯坦地區政府總裁?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.