Recent Swedish polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Social Democrats leading, followed closely by the Sweden Democrats and Moderates, with the next tier—Christian Democrats, Centre Party, Greens, and Left Party—clustered between roughly 6% and 7.5%. This tight grouping among mid-sized parties sustains uncertainty over fifth-place ordering, as small swings in voter preference or turnout can reorder them. The governing bloc's narrowing deficit to the opposition and the Liberals' persistent sub-4% readings add volatility, while bloc competition and campaign positioning influence preference flows among undecided voters. Trader consensus prices these four parties highest for fifth place, reflecting their comparable polling levels and limited recent differentiation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Left Party (V) 32%
Christian Democrats (KD) 26%
Green Party (MP) 18%
Centre Party (C) 18%

Left Party (V)
32%

Christian Democrats (KD)
26%

Green Party (MP)
18%

Centre Party (C)
18%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Liberals (L)
1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%

Moderate Party (M)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
<1%
Left Party (V) 32%
Christian Democrats (KD) 26%
Green Party (MP) 18%
Centre Party (C) 18%

Left Party (V)
32%

Christian Democrats (KD)
26%

Green Party (MP)
18%

Centre Party (C)
18%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Liberals (L)
1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%

Moderate Party (M)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市場開放時間: Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Social Democrats leading, followed closely by the Sweden Democrats and Moderates, with the next tier—Christian Democrats, Centre Party, Greens, and Left Party—clustered between roughly 6% and 7.5%. This tight grouping among mid-sized parties sustains uncertainty over fifth-place ordering, as small swings in voter preference or turnout can reorder them. The governing bloc's narrowing deficit to the opposition and the Liberals' persistent sub-4% readings add volatility, while bloc competition and campaign positioning influence preference flows among undecided voters. Trader consensus prices these four parties highest for fifth place, reflecting their comparable polling levels and limited recent differentiation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions