Texas’s 18th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat centered in Houston, where the party has held the office continuously for decades. Recent redistricting merged portions of an adjacent district, setting up a May 26 Democratic primary runoff between incumbents Al Green and Christian Menefee, the latter of whom won the January 2026 special election to complete the prior term. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing in November, consistent with historical base rates for this district and the absence of any major partisan realignment since the last election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主黨
94%
共和黨
3%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主黨
$0 交易量
94%
共和黨
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 18th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat centered in Houston, where the party has held the office continuously for decades. Recent redistricting merged portions of an adjacent district, setting up a May 26 Democratic primary runoff between incumbents Al Green and Christian Menefee, the latter of whom won the January 2026 special election to complete the prior term. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing in November, consistent with historical base rates for this district and the absence of any major partisan realignment since the last election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 18th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat centered in Houston, where the party has held the office continuously for decades. Recent redistricting merged portions of an adjacent district, setting up a May 26 Democratic primary runoff between incumbents Al Green and Christian Menefee, the latter of whom won the January 2026 special election to complete the prior term. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing in November, consistent with historical base rates for this district and the absence of any major partisan realignment since the last election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 18th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat centered in Houston, where the party has held the office continuously for decades. Recent redistricting merged portions of an adjacent district, setting up a May 26 Democratic primary runoff between incumbents Al Green and Christian Menefee, the latter of whom won the January 2026 special election to complete the prior term. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing in November, consistent with historical base rates for this district and the absence of any major partisan realignment since the last election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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