The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure sanctions campaign, including Executive Order 14404 and repeated designations targeting GAESA, nickel mining, military-linked firms, and foreign partners, remains the dominant factor shaping prospects for any US-Cuba economic agreement. Secondary sanctions and an effective oil blockade have curtailed foreign investment and shipping, while Cuba’s June 2026 economic reforms—decentralization, private banking, and expanded foreign investment rules—have not produced bilateral talks or sanctions relief. Limited diplomatic contacts continue without an established negotiation agenda, and recent August–September designations underscore the policy focus on regime revenue streams rather than normalization. Traders therefore weigh the low likelihood of a breakthrough against any sudden humanitarian or geopolitical shift that could reopen channels before the market’s resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$435,127 交易量
2026-12-31
December 31
15%
$435,127 交易量
December 31
$23,254 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure sanctions campaign, including Executive Order 14404 and repeated designations targeting GAESA, nickel mining, military-linked firms, and foreign partners, remains the dominant factor shaping prospects for any US-Cuba economic agreement. Secondary sanctions and an effective oil blockade have curtailed foreign investment and shipping, while Cuba’s June 2026 economic reforms—decentralization, private banking, and expanded foreign investment rules—have not produced bilateral talks or sanctions relief. Limited diplomatic contacts continue without an established negotiation agenda, and recent August–September designations underscore the policy focus on regime revenue streams rather than normalization. Traders therefore weigh the low likelihood of a breakthrough against any sudden humanitarian or geopolitical shift that could reopen channels before the market’s resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
交易量
$435,127結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure sanctions campaign, including Executive Order 14404 and repeated designations targeting GAESA, nickel mining, military-linked firms, and foreign partners, remains the dominant factor shaping prospects for any US-Cuba economic agreement. Secondary sanctions and an effective oil blockade have curtailed foreign investment and shipping, while Cuba’s June 2026 economic reforms—decentralization, private banking, and expanded foreign investment rules—have not produced bilateral talks or sanctions relief. Limited diplomatic contacts continue without an established negotiation agenda, and recent August–September designations underscore the policy focus on regime revenue streams rather than normalization. Traders therefore weigh the low likelihood of a breakthrough against any sudden humanitarian or geopolitical shift that could reopen channels before the market’s resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$435,127結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETThe Trump administration’s maximum-pressure sanctions campaign, including Executive Order 14404 and repeated designations targeting GAESA, nickel mining, military-linked firms, and foreign partners, remains the dominant factor shaping prospects for any US-Cuba economic agreement. Secondary sanctions and an effective oil blockade have curtailed foreign investment and shipping, while Cuba’s June 2026 economic reforms—decentralization, private banking, and expanded foreign investment rules—have not produced bilateral talks or sanctions relief. Limited diplomatic contacts continue without an established negotiation agenda, and recent August–September designations underscore the policy focus on regime revenue streams rather than normalization. Traders therefore weigh the low likelihood of a breakthrough against any sudden humanitarian or geopolitical shift that could reopen channels before the market’s resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions