Russian forces continue grinding advances in the Huliaipole direction of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with daily attacks reported near settlements including Dobropillia, Charivne, and Vozdvizhenivka, though Ukrainian defenders have repelled most assaults in recent weeks. Ukrainian counterattacks north and west of the town have regained several villages and disrupted Russian logistics along key roads, forcing Moscow to redirect naval infantry units and slowing the overall pace to roughly one kilometer per week. Primary factors shaping trader views include Russia's sustained manpower commitments from the Eastern Military District, Ukraine's ability to rotate brigades from the Pokrovsk sector for localized counteroffensives, and the absence of major escalatory developments such as new long-range strikes or international intervention. No decisive breakthroughs have occurred since early 2026, when Russian units secured most of Huliaipole itself amid intense urban fighting. Resolution hinges on whether incremental Russian infiltration succeeds before any renewed Ukrainian push or negotiated pause alters the front line.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$60,879 交易量
2026-05-31
5月31日
49%
$60,879 交易量
5月31日
$46,683 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Huliaipilske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.612850° N, 36.062680° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue grinding advances in the Huliaipole direction of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with daily attacks reported near settlements including Dobropillia, Charivne, and Vozdvizhenivka, though Ukrainian defenders have repelled most assaults in recent weeks. Ukrainian counterattacks north and west of the town have regained several villages and disrupted Russian logistics along key roads, forcing Moscow to redirect naval infantry units and slowing the overall pace to roughly one kilometer per week. Primary factors shaping trader views include Russia's sustained manpower commitments from the Eastern Military District, Ukraine's ability to rotate brigades from the Pokrovsk sector for localized counteroffensives, and the absence of major escalatory developments such as new long-range strikes or international intervention. No decisive breakthroughs have occurred since early 2026, when Russian units secured most of Huliaipole itself amid intense urban fighting. Resolution hinges on whether incremental Russian infiltration succeeds before any renewed Ukrainian push or negotiated pause alters the front line.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Huliaipilske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.612850° N, 36.062680° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Apr 22, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$60,879結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Huliaipilske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.612850° N, 36.062680° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue grinding advances in the Huliaipole direction of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with daily attacks reported near settlements including Dobropillia, Charivne, and Vozdvizhenivka, though Ukrainian defenders have repelled most assaults in recent weeks. Ukrainian counterattacks north and west of the town have regained several villages and disrupted Russian logistics along key roads, forcing Moscow to redirect naval infantry units and slowing the overall pace to roughly one kilometer per week. Primary factors shaping trader views include Russia's sustained manpower commitments from the Eastern Military District, Ukraine's ability to rotate brigades from the Pokrovsk sector for localized counteroffensives, and the absence of major escalatory developments such as new long-range strikes or international intervention. No decisive breakthroughs have occurred since early 2026, when Russian units secured most of Huliaipole itself amid intense urban fighting. Resolution hinges on whether incremental Russian infiltration succeeds before any renewed Ukrainian push or negotiated pause alters the front line.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Huliaipilske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.612850° N, 36.062680° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
交易量
$60,879結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue grinding advances in the Huliaipole direction of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with daily attacks reported near settlements including Dobropillia, Charivne, and Vozdvizhenivka, though Ukrainian defenders have repelled most assaults in recent weeks. Ukrainian counterattacks north and west of the town have regained several villages and disrupted Russian logistics along key roads, forcing Moscow to redirect naval infantry units and slowing the overall pace to roughly one kilometer per week. Primary factors shaping trader views include Russia's sustained manpower commitments from the Eastern Military District, Ukraine's ability to rotate brigades from the Pokrovsk sector for localized counteroffensives, and the absence of major escalatory developments such as new long-range strikes or international intervention. No decisive breakthroughs have occurred since early 2026, when Russian units secured most of Huliaipole itself amid intense urban fighting. Resolution hinges on whether incremental Russian infiltration succeeds before any renewed Ukrainian push or negotiated pause alters the front line.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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