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非農工資 預測與賠率

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2026年美國的失業率會有多高?

2026年美國的失業率會有多高?

11%

5.0%

$464K 交易量

$13.9K Liq.

20

Ends 6 個月內

How many jobs added in July?

How many jobs added in July?

44%

50k – 100k

$0 交易量

$10.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

7%

December 31

$61M 交易量

$1M Liq.

1,638

Ends 6 個月內

Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

77%

Thom Tillis

$1.6K 交易量

$305 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

53%

Mitch McConnell

$63 交易量

$284 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

JOLTS Job Openings — June 2026

JOLTS Job Openings — June 2026

48%

7.6M-7.7M

$68 交易量

$138 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will Newmont (NEM) Q2 total attributable gold production be above __?

Will Newmont (NEM) Q2 total attributable gold production be above __?

72%

1,200 koz

$370 交易量

$459 Liq.

Ends 19 天內

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

39%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$29.0K 交易量

$16.4K Liq.

1

Ends 7 個月內

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

6%

$8.7K 交易量

$3.5K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

July Unemployment Rate

July Unemployment Rate

36%

4.3%

$25 交易量

$20.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

3rd largest private company end of July?

3rd largest private company end of July?

82%

Stripe

$3.7K 交易量

$7.8K Liq.

Ends 28 天內

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

96%

$168 交易量

$644 Liq.

Ends 10 天內

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

11%

$2M 交易量

$37.3K Liq.

69

Ends 7 個月內

2nd largest private company end of July?

2nd largest private company end of July?

95%

OpenAI

$5.3K 交易量

$53.3K Liq.

Ends 28 天內

Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?

88%

$388 交易量

$67 Liq.

Ends 12 天內

Largest private company end of July?

Largest private company end of July?

96%

Anthropic

$15.1K 交易量

$26.8K Liq.

Ends 28 天內

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

82%

Up

$25.6K 交易量

$6.8K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above __?

Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above __?

100%

$95B

$0 交易量

Ends 13 天內

Will BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above __?

Will BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above __?

28%

$125B

$381 交易量

$133 Liq.

Ends 17 天內

Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

18%

Stripe

$85 交易量

$537 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for 非農工資 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026年美國的失業率會有多高?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $63.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 7% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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