Stable outlooks from Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch following the May 2025 Moody’s downgrade to Aa1 anchor trader consensus against another sovereign rating cut before 2027, with current implied probabilities reflecting the agencies’ assessment that U.S. dollar reserve-currency status and persistent Treasury demand will offset widening fiscal deficits projected at 7.9 percent of GDP. Recent Fitch commentary highlighted gross debt surpassing 120 percent of GDP next year as a core concern, yet no negative watch or outlook revisions have followed the 2025 suspension of debt-ceiling constraints. Key near-term catalysts include FY2027 budget negotiations and any potential late-2026 debt-limit deadline that could reintroduce political uncertainty and prompt agency reviews.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级？
在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级？
是
$10,086 交易量
$10,086 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$10,086 交易量
$10,086 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Stable outlooks from Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch following the May 2025 Moody’s downgrade to Aa1 anchor trader consensus against another sovereign rating cut before 2027, with current implied probabilities reflecting the agencies’ assessment that U.S. dollar reserve-currency status and persistent Treasury demand will offset widening fiscal deficits projected at 7.9 percent of GDP. Recent Fitch commentary highlighted gross debt surpassing 120 percent of GDP next year as a core concern, yet no negative watch or outlook revisions have followed the 2025 suspension of debt-ceiling constraints. Key near-term catalysts include FY2027 budget negotiations and any potential late-2026 debt-limit deadline that could reintroduce political uncertainty and prompt agency reviews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
交易量
$10,086结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Stable outlooks from Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch following the May 2025 Moody’s downgrade to Aa1 anchor trader consensus against another sovereign rating cut before 2027, with current implied probabilities reflecting the agencies’ assessment that U.S. dollar reserve-currency status and persistent Treasury demand will offset widening fiscal deficits projected at 7.9 percent of GDP. Recent Fitch commentary highlighted gross debt surpassing 120 percent of GDP next year as a core concern, yet no negative watch or outlook revisions have followed the 2025 suspension of debt-ceiling constraints. Key near-term catalysts include FY2027 budget negotiations and any potential late-2026 debt-limit deadline that could reintroduce political uncertainty and prompt agency reviews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$10,086结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stable outlooks from Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch following the May 2025 Moody’s downgrade to Aa1 anchor trader consensus against another sovereign rating cut before 2027, with current implied probabilities reflecting the agencies’ assessment that U.S. dollar reserve-currency status and persistent Treasury demand will offset widening fiscal deficits projected at 7.9 percent of GDP. Recent Fitch commentary highlighted gross debt surpassing 120 percent of GDP next year as a core concern, yet no negative watch or outlook revisions have followed the 2025 suspension of debt-ceiling constraints. Key near-term catalysts include FY2027 budget negotiations and any potential late-2026 debt-limit deadline that could reintroduce political uncertainty and prompt agency reviews.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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