Recent affirmations by S&P and Fitch of the US AA+ rating with stable outlooks underscore economic resilience, steady revenue collection from tariffs and growth, and institutional capacity to manage deficits without immediate escalation. The debt limit, raised substantially in 2025, faces projected contact only in 2027, deferring brinkmanship risks that previously triggered downgrades. Treasury guidance on consistent debt issuance through 2027 further signals continuity rather than disruption. These factors align with trader consensus pricing an 88.5% chance against another downgrade before year-end, though sustained deficit growth or unexpected fiscal slippage could still prompt agency reviews.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级？
在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级？
是
12% 概率
$13,246 交易量
$13,246 交易量
2026-12-31
是
12% 概率
$13,246 交易量
$13,246 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P and Fitch of the US AA+ rating with stable outlooks underscore economic resilience, steady revenue collection from tariffs and growth, and institutional capacity to manage deficits without immediate escalation. The debt limit, raised substantially in 2025, faces projected contact only in 2027, deferring brinkmanship risks that previously triggered downgrades. Treasury guidance on consistent debt issuance through 2027 further signals continuity rather than disruption. These factors align with trader consensus pricing an 88.5% chance against another downgrade before year-end, though sustained deficit growth or unexpected fiscal slippage could still prompt agency reviews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
交易量
$13,246结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P and Fitch of the US AA+ rating with stable outlooks underscore economic resilience, steady revenue collection from tariffs and growth, and institutional capacity to manage deficits without immediate escalation. The debt limit, raised substantially in 2025, faces projected contact only in 2027, deferring brinkmanship risks that previously triggered downgrades. Treasury guidance on consistent debt issuance through 2027 further signals continuity rather than disruption. These factors align with trader consensus pricing an 88.5% chance against another downgrade before year-end, though sustained deficit growth or unexpected fiscal slippage could still prompt agency reviews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$13,246结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETRecent affirmations by S&P and Fitch of the US AA+ rating with stable outlooks underscore economic resilience, steady revenue collection from tariffs and growth, and institutional capacity to manage deficits without immediate escalation. The debt limit, raised substantially in 2025, faces projected contact only in 2027, deferring brinkmanship risks that previously triggered downgrades. Treasury guidance on consistent debt issuance through 2027 further signals continuity rather than disruption. These factors align with trader consensus pricing an 88.5% chance against another downgrade before year-end, though sustained deficit growth or unexpected fiscal slippage could still prompt agency reviews.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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