High polarization between far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda in the June 21 runoff has spurred voter mobilization efforts, building on the first-round turnout of nearly 58 percent—the highest in recent Colombian presidential history. Centrist endorsements, including from Paloma Valencia, and ongoing campaign activity targeting undecided and abstaining voters from the initial round are expected to sustain or slightly elevate participation rates. Historical patterns in contested runoffs, combined with the absence of compulsory voting, position 60-64 percent as the trader consensus range, while lower bands reflect scenarios of voter fatigue or uneven regional engagement. No major last-minute disruptions have altered these dynamics in the past week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于60-64% 60%
56-60% 31%
52-56% 7%
64%以上 5%
$11,714 交易量
$11,714 交易量
2026-06-22
低于52%
1%
52-56%
7%
56-60%
31%
60-64%
60%
64%以上
5%
60-64% 60%
56-60% 31%
52-56% 7%
64%以上 5%
$11,714 交易量
$11,714 交易量
2026-06-22
低于52%
$675 交易量
1%
52-56%
$495 交易量
7%
56-60%
$2,664 交易量
31%
60-64%
$5,178 交易量
60%
64%以上
$2,702 交易量
5%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).High polarization between far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda in the June 21 runoff has spurred voter mobilization efforts, building on the first-round turnout of nearly 58 percent—the highest in recent Colombian presidential history. Centrist endorsements, including from Paloma Valencia, and ongoing campaign activity targeting undecided and abstaining voters from the initial round are expected to sustain or slightly elevate participation rates. Historical patterns in contested runoffs, combined with the absence of compulsory voting, position 60-64 percent as the trader consensus range, while lower bands reflect scenarios of voter fatigue or uneven regional engagement. No major last-minute disruptions have altered these dynamics in the past week.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间： Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
交易量
$11,714结束日期
2026-06-22市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).High polarization between far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda in the June 21 runoff has spurred voter mobilization efforts, building on the first-round turnout of nearly 58 percent—the highest in recent Colombian presidential history. Centrist endorsements, including from Paloma Valencia, and ongoing campaign activity targeting undecided and abstaining voters from the initial round are expected to sustain or slightly elevate participation rates. Historical patterns in contested runoffs, combined with the absence of compulsory voting, position 60-64 percent as the trader consensus range, while lower bands reflect scenarios of voter fatigue or uneven regional engagement. No major last-minute disruptions have altered these dynamics in the past week.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$11,714结束日期
2026-06-22市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High polarization between far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda in the June 21 runoff has spurred voter mobilization efforts, building on the first-round turnout of nearly 58 percent—the highest in recent Colombian presidential history. Centrist endorsements, including from Paloma Valencia, and ongoing campaign activity targeting undecided and abstaining voters from the initial round are expected to sustain or slightly elevate participation rates. Historical patterns in contested runoffs, combined with the absence of compulsory voting, position 60-64 percent as the trader consensus range, while lower bands reflect scenarios of voter fatigue or uneven regional engagement. No major last-minute disruptions have altered these dynamics in the past week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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