Current forecasts from meteorological sources indicate a daily high of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 5 under clear skies and light northerly winds, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. In Ankara's semi-arid continental climate, peak temperatures are driven by strong solar insolation near the summer solstice maximum, minimal cloud cover reducing albedo effects, and limited moisture for evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence suppressing convective activity, with historical August averages near 30–32°C providing context. Minor shifts in wind direction or localized urban heat effects could nudge the exact maximum between 31°C and 34°C, though probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日安卡拉的最高温度?
32°C 58%
33°C 23%
31°C 16%
30°C 1.4%
$24,969 交易量
$24,969 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
16%
32°C
52%
33°C
23%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 58%
33°C 23%
31°C 16%
30°C 1.4%
$24,969 交易量
$24,969 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
16%
32°C
52%
33°C
23%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from meteorological sources indicate a daily high of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 5 under clear skies and light northerly winds, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. In Ankara's semi-arid continental climate, peak temperatures are driven by strong solar insolation near the summer solstice maximum, minimal cloud cover reducing albedo effects, and limited moisture for evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show stable high-pressure influence suppressing convective activity, with historical August averages near 30–32°C providing context. Minor shifts in wind direction or localized urban heat effects could nudge the exact maximum between 31°C and 34°C, though probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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