Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service project a Dallas high near 100°F on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow from the Gulf, and typical late-summer solar heating that supports the market's 54.5% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. This exceeds the long-term August average high of about 96°F at DFW, reflecting above-normal conditions amid recent daily readings of 99°F. Lower-probability outcomes above 102°F remain limited by model consensus on modest moisture and wind patterns that cap intensification, while cooler bins below 98°F align with minimal downside risk in current guidance. Official verification uses calibrated thermometer data at the primary station, with final resolution expected shortly after sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日达拉斯的最高温度?
100-101°F 55%
98-99°F 26%
102-103°F 17%
104-105°F 2%
$22,457 交易量
$22,457 交易量
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
26%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
17%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 55%
98-99°F 26%
102-103°F 17%
104-105°F 2%
$22,457 交易量
$22,457 交易量
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
26%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
17%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service project a Dallas high near 100°F on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, southerly flow from the Gulf, and typical late-summer solar heating that supports the market's 54.5% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. This exceeds the long-term August average high of about 96°F at DFW, reflecting above-normal conditions amid recent daily readings of 99°F. Lower-probability outcomes above 102°F remain limited by model consensus on modest moisture and wind patterns that cap intensification, while cooler bins below 98°F align with minimal downside risk in current guidance. Official verification uses calibrated thermometer data at the primary station, with final resolution expected shortly after sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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