Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime peak of 36–38°C in Jeddah on May 17, driven by strong high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly winds that limit sea-breeze moderation along the Red Sea coast. This consensus, aligned with guidance from Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology, supports the market’s 87% implied probability for 37°C or higher while leaving room for modest cooling if onshore flow strengthens or afternoon cloud cover increases. Mid-May climatology places the city’s average high near 36°C, with excursions above that mark common under persistent dry continental air masses. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and real-time observations for any late adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日吉达的最高温度?
37°C或更高 90%
36°C 10%
35°C 1.8%
34°C <1%
$43,215 交易量
$43,215 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
10%
37°C或更高
90%
37°C或更高 90%
36°C 10%
35°C 1.8%
34°C <1%
$43,215 交易量
$43,215 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
10%
37°C或更高
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime peak of 36–38°C in Jeddah on May 17, driven by strong high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly winds that limit sea-breeze moderation along the Red Sea coast. This consensus, aligned with guidance from Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology, supports the market’s 87% implied probability for 37°C or higher while leaving room for modest cooling if onshore flow strengthens or afternoon cloud cover increases. Mid-May climatology places the city’s average high near 36°C, with excursions above that mark common under persistent dry continental air masses. Traders are monitoring the final model runs and real-time observations for any late adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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