Recent forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather project a daytime maximum of 37°C for Milan on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light south-westerly winds that favor strong solar heating and subsidence warming across the Po Valley. These conditions align with typical late-summer heat patterns, pushing the market-implied probability highest for 36°C (51%) and 37°C (36.5%). Official agencies note limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk, though minor forecast revisions on wind or cloud cover could shift the exact peak. Traders have adjusted positions toward these outcomes as updated guidance reinforces temperatures near the upper end of the seasonal average.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日米兰的最高温度？
8月5日米兰的最高温度？
36°C 53%
37°C 36%
35°C 9%
38°C 5%
$21,902 交易量
$21,902 交易量
2026-08-05
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36°C
53%
37°C
36%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 53%
37°C 36%
35°C 9%
38°C 5%
$21,902 交易量
$21,902 交易量
2026-08-05
33°C or below
$1,680 交易量
<1%
34°C
$2,047 交易量
1%
35°C
$3,039 交易量
9%
36°C
$2,755 交易量
53%
37°C
$6,986 交易量
36%
38°C
$2,041 交易量
5%
39°C
$1,722 交易量
1%
40°C
$689 交易量
<1%
41°C
$287 交易量
<1%
42°C
$287 交易量
<1%
43°C or higher
$443 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather project a daytime maximum of 37°C for Milan on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light south-westerly winds that favor strong solar heating and subsidence warming across the Po Valley. These conditions align with typical late-summer heat patterns, pushing the market-implied probability highest for 36°C (51%) and 37°C (36.5%). Official agencies note limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk, though minor forecast revisions on wind or cloud cover could shift the exact peak. Traders have adjusted positions toward these outcomes as updated guidance reinforces temperatures near the upper end of the seasonal average.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$21,902结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather project a daytime maximum of 37°C for Milan on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light south-westerly winds that favor strong solar heating and subsidence warming across the Po Valley. These conditions align with typical late-summer heat patterns, pushing the market-implied probability highest for 36°C (51%) and 37°C (36.5%). Official agencies note limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk, though minor forecast revisions on wind or cloud cover could shift the exact peak. Traders have adjusted positions toward these outcomes as updated guidance reinforces temperatures near the upper end of the seasonal average.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,902结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather project a daytime maximum of 37°C for Milan on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light south-westerly winds that favor strong solar heating and subsidence warming across the Po Valley. These conditions align with typical late-summer heat patterns, pushing the market-implied probability highest for 36°C (51%) and 37°C (36.5%). Official agencies note limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk, though minor forecast revisions on wind or cloud cover could shift the exact peak. Traders have adjusted positions toward these outcomes as updated guidance reinforces temperatures near the upper end of the seasonal average.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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