Latest forecast models from sources including timeanddate and national meteorological services indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 27–28°C on August 5 under sunny intervals, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 85%. Above the long-term August average of roughly 22°C, the elevated readings stem from persistent high-pressure patterns and reduced precipitation that allow greater solar heating during peak daylight hours. Real-time observations and model consensus show low chance of convective cooling or frontal passage that could cap temperatures below 27°C or push them toward 29°C or higher, though minor revisions in afternoon readings or localized urban heat effects could still influence final resolution. Traders are weighting these near-term atmospheric conditions heavily ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日莫斯科最高气温？
8月5日莫斯科最高气温？
27°C 62%
28°C 29%
26°C 7%
29°C 2%
$15,812 交易量
$15,812 交易量
2026-08-05
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
62%
28°C
29%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃或更高
<1%
27°C 62%
28°C 29%
26°C 7%
29°C 2%
$15,812 交易量
$15,812 交易量
2026-08-05
23°C or below
$1,638 交易量
<1%
24°C
$593 交易量
<1%
25°C
$676 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,129 交易量
7%
27°C
$2,415 交易量
62%
28°C
$2,032 交易量
29%
29°C
$1,215 交易量
2%
30°C
$315 交易量
<1%
31°C
$858 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,963 交易量
<1%
33℃或更高
$1,978 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including timeanddate and national meteorological services indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 27–28°C on August 5 under sunny intervals, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 85%. Above the long-term August average of roughly 22°C, the elevated readings stem from persistent high-pressure patterns and reduced precipitation that allow greater solar heating during peak daylight hours. Real-time observations and model consensus show low chance of convective cooling or frontal passage that could cap temperatures below 27°C or push them toward 29°C or higher, though minor revisions in afternoon readings or localized urban heat effects could still influence final resolution. Traders are weighting these near-term atmospheric conditions heavily ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$15,812结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including timeanddate and national meteorological services indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 27–28°C on August 5 under sunny intervals, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 85%. Above the long-term August average of roughly 22°C, the elevated readings stem from persistent high-pressure patterns and reduced precipitation that allow greater solar heating during peak daylight hours. Real-time observations and model consensus show low chance of convective cooling or frontal passage that could cap temperatures below 27°C or push them toward 29°C or higher, though minor revisions in afternoon readings or localized urban heat effects could still influence final resolution. Traders are weighting these near-term atmospheric conditions heavily ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,812结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including timeanddate and national meteorological services indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 27–28°C on August 5 under sunny intervals, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 85%. Above the long-term August average of roughly 22°C, the elevated readings stem from persistent high-pressure patterns and reduced precipitation that allow greater solar heating during peak daylight hours. Real-time observations and model consensus show low chance of convective cooling or frontal passage that could cap temperatures below 27°C or push them toward 29°C or higher, though minor revisions in afternoon readings or localized urban heat effects could still influence final resolution. Traders are weighting these near-term atmospheric conditions heavily ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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