Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific kept San Francisco's August 14 high tightly constrained near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 70–71°F at downtown stations. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines of 67–70°F for mid-August and recent model guidance from NOAA showing limited warming due to persistent stratus and modest 925 mb temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the closed observational record, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected station anomaly or post hoc data adjustment could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible probability given multiple verified reporting sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日旧金山气温最高？
8月14日旧金山气温最高？
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F或以下 <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$46,164 交易量
$46,164 交易量
2026-08-14
59°F或以下
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67华氏度
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78°F或更高
否
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F或以下 <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$46,164 交易量
$46,164 交易量
2026-08-14
59°F或以下
$1,047 交易量
否
60-61°F
$1,078 交易量
否
62-63°F
$1,788 交易量
否
64-65°F
$3,685 交易量
否
66-67华氏度
$12,106 交易量
否
68-69°F
$9,299 交易量
否
70-71°F
$7,310 交易量
是
72-73°F
$4,627 交易量
否
74-75°F
$3,372 交易量
否
76-77°F
$1,514 交易量
否
78°F或更高
$337 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific kept San Francisco's August 14 high tightly constrained near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 70–71°F at downtown stations. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines of 67–70°F for mid-August and recent model guidance from NOAA showing limited warming due to persistent stratus and modest 925 mb temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the closed observational record, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected station anomaly or post hoc data adjustment could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible probability given multiple verified reporting sites.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$46,164结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific kept San Francisco's August 14 high tightly constrained near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 70–71°F at downtown stations. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines of 67–70°F for mid-August and recent model guidance from NOAA showing limited warming due to persistent stratus and modest 925 mb temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the closed observational record, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected station anomaly or post hoc data adjustment could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible probability given multiple verified reporting sites.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$46,164结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific kept San Francisco's August 14 high tightly constrained near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 70–71°F at downtown stations. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines of 67–70°F for mid-August and recent model guidance from NOAA showing limited warming due to persistent stratus and modest 925 mb temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the closed observational record, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected station anomaly or post hoc data adjustment could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible probability given multiple verified reporting sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题