Current forecast consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models supports a daily maximum near 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and high humidity that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Overcast skies and easterly flow have kept observed temperatures from exceeding this threshold through midday, consistent with regional climatology for mid-August under similar synoptic patterns. Trader positioning at 99.7% reflects this high-confidence consensus from verified observations and short-range model agreement. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow brief additional warming toward 30–31°C, though current moisture profiles and steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日上海气温最高？
8月13日上海气温最高？
29°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$107,002 交易量
$107,002 交易量
2026-08-13
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$107,002 交易量
$107,002 交易量
2026-08-13
24°C or below
$2,482 交易量
<1%
25°C
$4,234 交易量
<1%
26°C
$7,711 交易量
<1%
27°C
$17,006 交易量
<1%
28°C
$23,183 交易量
<1%
29°C
$17,188 交易量
100%
30°C
$18,774 交易量
<1%
31°C
$11,781 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,826 交易量
<1%
33°C
$945 交易量
<1%
34°C or higher
$871 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models supports a daily maximum near 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and high humidity that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Overcast skies and easterly flow have kept observed temperatures from exceeding this threshold through midday, consistent with regional climatology for mid-August under similar synoptic patterns. Trader positioning at 99.7% reflects this high-confidence consensus from verified observations and short-range model agreement. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow brief additional warming toward 30–31°C, though current moisture profiles and steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$107,002结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models supports a daily maximum near 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and high humidity that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Overcast skies and easterly flow have kept observed temperatures from exceeding this threshold through midday, consistent with regional climatology for mid-August under similar synoptic patterns. Trader positioning at 99.7% reflects this high-confidence consensus from verified observations and short-range model agreement. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow brief additional warming toward 30–31°C, though current moisture profiles and steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$107,002结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models supports a daily maximum near 29°C in Shanghai on August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and high humidity that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Overcast skies and easterly flow have kept observed temperatures from exceeding this threshold through midday, consistent with regional climatology for mid-August under similar synoptic patterns. Trader positioning at 99.7% reflects this high-confidence consensus from verified observations and short-range model agreement. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow brief additional warming toward 30–31°C, though current moisture profiles and steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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