Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55.5% probability for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport Station reaching 27°C or higher on May 14, driven by the latest Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies. A weather front from southern China, arriving May 12-13, has introduced moisture and scattered showers—evident in today's overcast conditions and passing rain—moderating seasonal norms of 28-29°C highs through increased cloud cover and humidity near 80-90%, potentially capping intensity via reduced solar heating. Recent Songshan observations show May 12-13 highs near 28°C before frontal cooling, with uncertainty tied to precipitation totals; heavier thunderstorms could limit to 25-26°C (37.5% combined odds). Watch CWA's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
27°C or higher 59%
26°C 21%
25°C 16%
24°C 11%
最新
$14,243 交易量
最新
$14,243 交易量
2026-05-14
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
16%
26°C
21%
27°C or higher
59%
27°C or higher 59%
26°C 21%
25°C 16%
24°C 11%
最新
$14,243 交易量
最新
$14,243 交易量
2026-05-14
22°C
$1,100 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,304 交易量
2%
24°C
$862 交易量
11%
25°C
$690 交易量
16%
26°C
$696 交易量
21%
27°C or higher
$2,001 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55.5% probability for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport Station reaching 27°C or higher on May 14, driven by the latest Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies. A weather front from southern China, arriving May 12-13, has introduced moisture and scattered showers—evident in today's overcast conditions and passing rain—moderating seasonal norms of 28-29°C highs through increased cloud cover and humidity near 80-90%, potentially capping intensity via reduced solar heating. Recent Songshan observations show May 12-13 highs near 28°C before frontal cooling, with uncertainty tied to precipitation totals; heavier thunderstorms could limit to 25-26°C (37.5% combined odds). Watch CWA's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$14,243结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55.5% probability for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport Station reaching 27°C or higher on May 14, driven by the latest Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies. A weather front from southern China, arriving May 12-13, has introduced moisture and scattered showers—evident in today's overcast conditions and passing rain—moderating seasonal norms of 28-29°C highs through increased cloud cover and humidity near 80-90%, potentially capping intensity via reduced solar heating. Recent Songshan observations show May 12-13 highs near 28°C before frontal cooling, with uncertainty tied to precipitation totals; heavier thunderstorms could limit to 25-26°C (37.5% combined odds). Watch CWA's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,243结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55.5% probability for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport Station reaching 27°C or higher on May 14, driven by the latest Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies. A weather front from southern China, arriving May 12-13, has introduced moisture and scattered showers—evident in today's overcast conditions and passing rain—moderating seasonal norms of 28-29°C highs through increased cloud cover and humidity near 80-90%, potentially capping intensity via reduced solar heating. Recent Songshan observations show May 12-13 highs near 28°C before frontal cooling, with uncertainty tied to precipitation totals; heavier thunderstorms could limit to 25-26°C (37.5% combined odds). Watch CWA's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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