Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high near 31°C for Toronto on May 19 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds that favor 28–30°C as the most likely peak. Ensemble model spreads from agencies like NOAA and the Canadian Meteorological Centre show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture advection, which could cap readings at 27–29°C if showers develop earlier or allow 31–32°C under stronger southerly flow. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, underscoring how this warm anomaly reflects current atmospheric conditions ahead of resolution based on the official Toronto Pearson station observation. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日多伦多气温最高?
28°C 31%
29°C 23%
27°C 14%
30°C 9%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
14%
28°C
31%
29°C
23%
30°C
9%
31°C
6%
32°C或更高
1%
28°C 31%
29°C 23%
27°C 14%
30°C 9%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
14%
28°C
31%
29°C
23%
30°C
9%
31°C
6%
32°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high near 31°C for Toronto on May 19 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market-implied odds that favor 28–30°C as the most likely peak. Ensemble model spreads from agencies like NOAA and the Canadian Meteorological Centre show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture advection, which could cap readings at 27–29°C if showers develop earlier or allow 31–32°C under stronger southerly flow. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18–20°C, underscoring how this warm anomaly reflects current atmospheric conditions ahead of resolution based on the official Toronto Pearson station observation. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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