Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF, combined with real-time observations from Warsaw stations, converge on a daily maximum of 22°C under scattered clouds, light winds, and early sprinkles that limit solar heating. This consensus matches the August climatological average for the city and reflects stable high-pressure influence without strong advection of warmer air. Current surface readings near 18–20°C in the afternoon further support that the peak has likely already occurred or will not exceed this threshold. The market-implied 100% odds on 22°C capture this alignment of dynamical forecasts and initial measurements. Only a significant revision in official post-processing by IMGW or an unexpected late-day clearing could shift the recorded high into adjacent bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月11日的最高温度？
华沙8月11日的最高温度？
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$56,199 交易量
$56,199 交易量
2026-08-11
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$56,199 交易量
$56,199 交易量
2026-08-11
18°C or below
$505 交易量
No
19°C
$4,816 交易量
No
20°C
$11,969 交易量
No
21°C
$9,460 交易量
No
22°C
$7,751 交易量
Yes
23°C
$5,541 交易量
No
24°C
$4,002 交易量
No
25°C
$2,218 交易量
No
26°C
$2,454 交易量
No
27°C
$4,406 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$3,076 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF, combined with real-time observations from Warsaw stations, converge on a daily maximum of 22°C under scattered clouds, light winds, and early sprinkles that limit solar heating. This consensus matches the August climatological average for the city and reflects stable high-pressure influence without strong advection of warmer air. Current surface readings near 18–20°C in the afternoon further support that the peak has likely already occurred or will not exceed this threshold. The market-implied 100% odds on 22°C capture this alignment of dynamical forecasts and initial measurements. Only a significant revision in official post-processing by IMGW or an unexpected late-day clearing could shift the recorded high into adjacent bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$56,199结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF, combined with real-time observations from Warsaw stations, converge on a daily maximum of 22°C under scattered clouds, light winds, and early sprinkles that limit solar heating. This consensus matches the August climatological average for the city and reflects stable high-pressure influence without strong advection of warmer air. Current surface readings near 18–20°C in the afternoon further support that the peak has likely already occurred or will not exceed this threshold. The market-implied 100% odds on 22°C capture this alignment of dynamical forecasts and initial measurements. Only a significant revision in official post-processing by IMGW or an unexpected late-day clearing could shift the recorded high into adjacent bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$56,199结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF, combined with real-time observations from Warsaw stations, converge on a daily maximum of 22°C under scattered clouds, light winds, and early sprinkles that limit solar heating. This consensus matches the August climatological average for the city and reflects stable high-pressure influence without strong advection of warmer air. Current surface readings near 18–20°C in the afternoon further support that the peak has likely already occurred or will not exceed this threshold. The market-implied 100% odds on 22°C capture this alignment of dynamical forecasts and initial measurements. Only a significant revision in official post-processing by IMGW or an unexpected late-day clearing could shift the recorded high into adjacent bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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