The tally of Democratic House incumbents not seeking re-election in 2026 currently stands near 23–25, placing the leading market brackets in close contention. Multiple retirements stem from redistricting changes, long-serving members stepping aside after decades in office, and shifts toward gubernatorial or Senate bids. Primary challenges, ethics inquiries, and vacancies from deaths or resignations have also contributed to the count. With filing deadlines still ahead in several states and potential late announcements possible, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether the final figure settles in the low or mid-20s. Historical patterns of elevated retirements in post-redistricting cycles add further context for the tight spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于20–23 41.3%
24–27 35%
28–31 18.2%
32–35 12.1%
$44,551 交易量
$44,551 交易量
2026-08-31
少于20
8%
20–23
41%
24–27
35%
28–31
12%
32–35
7%
36–39
1%
40人以上
1%
20–23 41.3%
24–27 35%
28–31 18.2%
32–35 12.1%
$44,551 交易量
$44,551 交易量
2026-08-31
少于20
$17,793 交易量
8%
20–23
$9,759 交易量
41%
24–27
$7,530 交易量
35%
28–31
$1,924 交易量
12%
32–35
$4,526 交易量
7%
36–39
$1,348 交易量
1%
40人以上
$1,671 交易量
1%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The tally of Democratic House incumbents not seeking re-election in 2026 currently stands near 23–25, placing the leading market brackets in close contention. Multiple retirements stem from redistricting changes, long-serving members stepping aside after decades in office, and shifts toward gubernatorial or Senate bids. Primary challenges, ethics inquiries, and vacancies from deaths or resignations have also contributed to the count. With filing deadlines still ahead in several states and potential late announcements possible, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether the final figure settles in the low or mid-20s. Historical patterns of elevated retirements in post-redistricting cycles add further context for the tight spread.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
交易量
$44,551结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The tally of Democratic House incumbents not seeking re-election in 2026 currently stands near 23–25, placing the leading market brackets in close contention. Multiple retirements stem from redistricting changes, long-serving members stepping aside after decades in office, and shifts toward gubernatorial or Senate bids. Primary challenges, ethics inquiries, and vacancies from deaths or resignations have also contributed to the count. With filing deadlines still ahead in several states and potential late announcements possible, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether the final figure settles in the low or mid-20s. Historical patterns of elevated retirements in post-redistricting cycles add further context for the tight spread.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$44,551结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tally of Democratic House incumbents not seeking re-election in 2026 currently stands near 23–25, placing the leading market brackets in close contention. Multiple retirements stem from redistricting changes, long-serving members stepping aside after decades in office, and shifts toward gubernatorial or Senate bids. Primary challenges, ethics inquiries, and vacancies from deaths or resignations have also contributed to the count. With filing deadlines still ahead in several states and potential late announcements possible, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether the final figure settles in the low or mid-20s. Historical patterns of elevated retirements in post-redistricting cycles add further context for the tight spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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