Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.7% implied probability for Georgia's 4th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's strong Democratic lean in DeKalb County and eastern Atlanta suburbs, where incumbent Rep. Hank Johnson routinely secures landslide victories—over 80% in recent cycles. Johnson qualified for his 11th term on March 2, 2026, facing primary challengers Ansel Postell and Ben Truman in the May 19 Democratic primary, while Republican James Raymond Duffie appears as the lone GOP contender amid minimal opposition fundraising or polling. This commanding position reflects historical base rates for safe Democratic seats and weak GOP path-to-victory. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, Johnson withdrawal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,474 交易量
$24,474 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$24,474 交易量
$24,474 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$13,717 交易量
95%
共和党
$10,757 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.7% implied probability for Georgia's 4th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's strong Democratic lean in DeKalb County and eastern Atlanta suburbs, where incumbent Rep. Hank Johnson routinely secures landslide victories—over 80% in recent cycles. Johnson qualified for his 11th term on March 2, 2026, facing primary challengers Ansel Postell and Ben Truman in the May 19 Democratic primary, while Republican James Raymond Duffie appears as the lone GOP contender amid minimal opposition fundraising or polling. This commanding position reflects historical base rates for safe Democratic seats and weak GOP path-to-victory. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, Johnson withdrawal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$24,474结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.7% implied probability for Georgia's 4th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's strong Democratic lean in DeKalb County and eastern Atlanta suburbs, where incumbent Rep. Hank Johnson routinely secures landslide victories—over 80% in recent cycles. Johnson qualified for his 11th term on March 2, 2026, facing primary challengers Ansel Postell and Ben Truman in the May 19 Democratic primary, while Republican James Raymond Duffie appears as the lone GOP contender amid minimal opposition fundraising or polling. This commanding position reflects historical base rates for safe Democratic seats and weak GOP path-to-victory. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, Johnson withdrawal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,474结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.7% implied probability for Georgia's 4th Congressional District House race, driven by the district's strong Democratic lean in DeKalb County and eastern Atlanta suburbs, where incumbent Rep. Hank Johnson routinely secures landslide victories—over 80% in recent cycles. Johnson qualified for his 11th term on March 2, 2026, facing primary challengers Ansel Postell and Ben Truman in the May 19 Democratic primary, while Republican James Raymond Duffie appears as the lone GOP contender amid minimal opposition fundraising or polling. This commanding position reflects historical base rates for safe Democratic seats and weak GOP path-to-victory. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, Johnson withdrawal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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