Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, prompting Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor in a 54-45 vote. Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period tied to an ongoing Justice Department review of headquarters renovations, extending his influence until at least January 2028. This transition reflects standard term limits for the chair position alongside the administration’s push for new leadership amid debates over monetary policy independence. Traders assess resolution timing based on the exact date Powell ceases chair duties, with confirmation hearings, Senate floor votes, and any interim acting arrangements serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around scheduled milestones.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$211,862 交易量
2026-06-30
June 30
99%
May 31
92%
$211,862 交易量
June 30
$28,665 交易量
99%
May 31
$15,878 交易量
92%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, prompting Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor in a 54-45 vote. Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period tied to an ongoing Justice Department review of headquarters renovations, extending his influence until at least January 2028. This transition reflects standard term limits for the chair position alongside the administration’s push for new leadership amid debates over monetary policy independence. Traders assess resolution timing based on the exact date Powell ceases chair duties, with confirmation hearings, Senate floor votes, and any interim acting arrangements serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around scheduled milestones.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
交易量
$211,862结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, prompting Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor in a 54-45 vote. Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period tied to an ongoing Justice Department review of headquarters renovations, extending his influence until at least January 2028. This transition reflects standard term limits for the chair position alongside the administration’s push for new leadership amid debates over monetary policy independence. Traders assess resolution timing based on the exact date Powell ceases chair duties, with confirmation hearings, Senate floor votes, and any interim acting arrangements serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around scheduled milestones.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$211,862结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, prompting Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor in a 54-45 vote. Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period tied to an ongoing Justice Department review of headquarters renovations, extending his influence until at least January 2028. This transition reflects standard term limits for the chair position alongside the administration’s push for new leadership amid debates over monetary policy independence. Traders assess resolution timing based on the exact date Powell ceases chair duties, with confirmation hearings, Senate floor votes, and any interim acting arrangements serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around scheduled milestones.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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