Trader consensus strongly favors 76-77°F as Austin’s lowest temperature on August 27, driven by observed conditions matching late-summer climatology. Regional high pressure and elevated humidity limited nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the 75–78°F historical average for the period. National Weather Service station data from Austin-Bergstrom, combined with ensemble model guidance, showed minimal deviation from these baselines ahead of the date. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings, which traders priced with high confidence given stable atmospheric patterns. An unforecasted cold front or measurement anomaly at the primary station could have altered the outcome, though such events remain rare in this timeframe.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日奥斯汀最低气温？
8月27日奥斯汀最低气温？
76-77°F 99%
74-75°F 8.9%
72-73°F 2%
70-71°F <1%
$3,517 交易量
$3,517 交易量
2026-08-27
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
99%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 99%
74-75°F 8.9%
72-73°F 2%
70-71°F <1%
$3,517 交易量
$3,517 交易量
2026-08-27
69°F or below
$181 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$204 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$93 交易量
2%
74-75°F
$272 交易量
9%
76-77°F
$503 交易量
99%
78-79°F
$713 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$271 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$105 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$249 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$387 交易量
<1%
88°F or higher
$539 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 76-77°F as Austin’s lowest temperature on August 27, driven by observed conditions matching late-summer climatology. Regional high pressure and elevated humidity limited nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the 75–78°F historical average for the period. National Weather Service station data from Austin-Bergstrom, combined with ensemble model guidance, showed minimal deviation from these baselines ahead of the date. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings, which traders priced with high confidence given stable atmospheric patterns. An unforecasted cold front or measurement anomaly at the primary station could have altered the outcome, though such events remain rare in this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$3,517结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 76-77°F as Austin’s lowest temperature on August 27, driven by observed conditions matching late-summer climatology. Regional high pressure and elevated humidity limited nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the 75–78°F historical average for the period. National Weather Service station data from Austin-Bergstrom, combined with ensemble model guidance, showed minimal deviation from these baselines ahead of the date. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings, which traders priced with high confidence given stable atmospheric patterns. An unforecasted cold front or measurement anomaly at the primary station could have altered the outcome, though such events remain rare in this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,517结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETTrader consensus strongly favors 76-77°F as Austin’s lowest temperature on August 27, driven by observed conditions matching late-summer climatology. Regional high pressure and elevated humidity limited nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the 75–78°F historical average for the period. National Weather Service station data from Austin-Bergstrom, combined with ensemble model guidance, showed minimal deviation from these baselines ahead of the date. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings, which traders priced with high confidence given stable atmospheric patterns. An unforecasted cold front or measurement anomaly at the primary station could have altered the outcome, though such events remain rare in this timeframe.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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