Recent forecast model runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Helsinki on September 2 will likely fall in the 12–14 °C range, close to the long-term early-September average of roughly 11.5 °C. This consensus, driven by moderate northwest winds, limited cloud cover overnight, and absence of strong cold-air advection, underpins the near-even market-implied odds between 14 °C and 13 °C outcomes. The notable probability attached to 6 °C or below reflects residual model spread in radiational cooling potential under clearer skies and the inherent uncertainty of 24–48-hour temperature forecasts, while warmer scenarios above 15 °C remain low-probability given current steering patterns. Final resolution hinges on official overnight observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日赫尔辛基最低气温？
9月2日赫尔辛基最低气温？
15°C 93%
6°C or below 92%
14°C 81%
13°C 80%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
6°C or below
92%
7°C
2%
8°C
39%
9°C
23%
10°C
45%
11°C
32%
12°C
78%
13°C
80%
14°C
81%
15°C
93%
16°C or higher
8%
15°C 93%
6°C or below 92%
14°C 81%
13°C 80%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
6°C or below
$5 交易量
92%
7°C
$45 交易量
2%
8°C
$56 交易量
39%
9°C
$0 交易量
23%
10°C
$0 交易量
45%
11°C
$0 交易量
32%
12°C
$0 交易量
78%
13°C
$33 交易量
80%
14°C
$0 交易量
81%
15°C
$5 交易量
93%
16°C or higher
$5 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Helsinki on September 2 will likely fall in the 12–14 °C range, close to the long-term early-September average of roughly 11.5 °C. This consensus, driven by moderate northwest winds, limited cloud cover overnight, and absence of strong cold-air advection, underpins the near-even market-implied odds between 14 °C and 13 °C outcomes. The notable probability attached to 6 °C or below reflects residual model spread in radiational cooling potential under clearer skies and the inherent uncertainty of 24–48-hour temperature forecasts, while warmer scenarios above 15 °C remain low-probability given current steering patterns. Final resolution hinges on official overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$149结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Helsinki on September 2 will likely fall in the 12–14 °C range, close to the long-term early-September average of roughly 11.5 °C. This consensus, driven by moderate northwest winds, limited cloud cover overnight, and absence of strong cold-air advection, underpins the near-even market-implied odds between 14 °C and 13 °C outcomes. The notable probability attached to 6 °C or below reflects residual model spread in radiational cooling potential under clearer skies and the inherent uncertainty of 24–48-hour temperature forecasts, while warmer scenarios above 15 °C remain low-probability given current steering patterns. Final resolution hinges on official overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$149结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Helsinki on September 2 will likely fall in the 12–14 °C range, close to the long-term early-September average of roughly 11.5 °C. This consensus, driven by moderate northwest winds, limited cloud cover overnight, and absence of strong cold-air advection, underpins the near-even market-implied odds between 14 °C and 13 °C outcomes. The notable probability attached to 6 °C or below reflects residual model spread in radiational cooling potential under clearer skies and the inherent uncertainty of 24–48-hour temperature forecasts, while warmer scenarios above 15 °C remain low-probability given current steering patterns. Final resolution hinges on official overnight observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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