Hong Kong Observatory numerical weather prediction models currently converge on a 23°C overnight minimum for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that favors clear skies and moderate radiative cooling. This forecast aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on the 23°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of short-range model consensus rather than climatological averages. Typical May lows in the region range from 23–26°C, but the current weak monsoon trough and limited cloud cover support the lower end of that spectrum. Resolution hinges on the official Hong Kong Observatory reading; any late-model shift toward increased moisture or stronger onshore flow could push the minimum to 24°C or higher before final observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日香港最低气温？
5月17日香港最低气温？
23°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
28°C或以上 <1%
19°C <1%
$28,202 交易量
$28,202 交易量
2026-05-17
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
28°C或以上 <1%
19°C <1%
$28,202 交易量
$28,202 交易量
2026-05-17
18°C或以下
$1,249 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,089 交易量
<1%
20°C
$672 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,800 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,815 交易量
<1%
23°C
$6,393 交易量
100%
24°C
$7,733 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,338 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,117 交易量
<1%
27°C
$795 交易量
<1%
28°C或以上
$2,200 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory numerical weather prediction models currently converge on a 23°C overnight minimum for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that favors clear skies and moderate radiative cooling. This forecast aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on the 23°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of short-range model consensus rather than climatological averages. Typical May lows in the region range from 23–26°C, but the current weak monsoon trough and limited cloud cover support the lower end of that spectrum. Resolution hinges on the official Hong Kong Observatory reading; any late-model shift toward increased moisture or stronger onshore flow could push the minimum to 24°C or higher before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
交易量
$28,202结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory numerical weather prediction models currently converge on a 23°C overnight minimum for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that favors clear skies and moderate radiative cooling. This forecast aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on the 23°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of short-range model consensus rather than climatological averages. Typical May lows in the region range from 23–26°C, but the current weak monsoon trough and limited cloud cover support the lower end of that spectrum. Resolution hinges on the official Hong Kong Observatory reading; any late-model shift toward increased moisture or stronger onshore flow could push the minimum to 24°C or higher before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,202结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETHong Kong Observatory numerical weather prediction models currently converge on a 23°C overnight minimum for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that favors clear skies and moderate radiative cooling. This forecast aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on the 23°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of short-range model consensus rather than climatological averages. Typical May lows in the region range from 23–26°C, but the current weak monsoon trough and limited cloud cover support the lower end of that spectrum. Resolution hinges on the official Hong Kong Observatory reading; any late-model shift toward increased moisture or stronger onshore flow could push the minimum to 24°C or higher before final observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题