Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日伦敦最低气温？
8月14日伦敦最低气温？
22°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$27,771 交易量
$27,771 交易量
2026-08-14
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
22°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$27,771 交易量
$27,771 交易量
2026-08-14
16°C或以下
$1,387 交易量
否
17°C
$525 交易量
否
18°C
$10,917 交易量
否
19°C
$1,486 交易量
否
20°C
$794 交易量
否
21°C
$2,205 交易量
否
22°C
$6,962 交易量
是
23°C
$2,045 交易量
否
24°C
$675 交易量
否
25°C
$459 交易量
否
26°C或更高
$316 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
交易量
$27,771结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,771结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Strong market consensus at 22°C reflects the latest Met Office observational data and forecast model runs showing London locked in a stable warm air mass during the ongoing heatwave, with urban heat island effects and light winds limiting overnight radiative cooling to produce a minimum near that threshold. High daytime maxima near 34°C have transitioned into mild evening conditions without significant frontal passages or cloud cover changes that would accelerate temperature drops. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates minimal variability in the final hours, aligning trader sentiment with verified measurements over model projections. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast thundery activity could still shift the recorded low, though current atmospheric patterns make such developments unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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