Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 17–18 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. After a notably warm mid-August period with highs above 35 °C, a cooling trend has brought surface temperatures closer to seasonal norms, with dew points around 14–15 °C limiting further radiative cooling. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the short term, though slight differences in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the minimum by 1 °C. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly around these values, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical late-August climatology while awaiting refined runs ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日马德里最低气温？
8月25日马德里最低气温？
25°C or higher 50%
18°C 33%
17°C 29%
16°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
15°C or below
10%
16°C
19%
17°C
29%
18°C
33%
19°C
10%
20°C
8%
21°C
15%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
50%
25°C or higher 50%
18°C 33%
17°C 29%
16°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
15°C or below
$0 交易量
10%
16°C
$0 交易量
19%
17°C
$0 交易量
29%
18°C
$0 交易量
33%
19°C
$0 交易量
10%
20°C
$0 交易量
8%
21°C
$4 交易量
15%
22°C
$15 交易量
1%
23°C
$205 交易量
1%
24°C
$438 交易量
1%
25°C or higher
$30 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 17–18 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. After a notably warm mid-August period with highs above 35 °C, a cooling trend has brought surface temperatures closer to seasonal norms, with dew points around 14–15 °C limiting further radiative cooling. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the short term, though slight differences in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the minimum by 1 °C. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly around these values, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical late-August climatology while awaiting refined runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$692结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 17–18 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. After a notably warm mid-August period with highs above 35 °C, a cooling trend has brought surface temperatures closer to seasonal norms, with dew points around 14–15 °C limiting further radiative cooling. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the short term, though slight differences in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the minimum by 1 °C. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly around these values, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical late-August climatology while awaiting refined runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$692结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 17–18 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. After a notably warm mid-August period with highs above 35 °C, a cooling trend has brought surface temperatures closer to seasonal norms, with dew points around 14–15 °C limiting further radiative cooling. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the short term, though slight differences in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the minimum by 1 °C. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly around these values, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and historical late-August climatology while awaiting refined runs ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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