Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate typical August conditions for Shenzhen, with nighttime lows around 26°C driven by high humidity, monsoon moisture, and frequent cloud cover or showers that limit radiative cooling. Historical data place the seasonal average low near 26–27°C, while current short-range guidance shows 25–27°C ranges for August 26 amid ongoing thunderstorm activity and possible typhoon influences. Trader consensus heavily favors 22°C or below as the leading outcome, likely reflecting uncertainty in model runs regarding localized cooling from heavy rainfall or wind shifts, though warmer scenarios around 25–27°C retain substantial implied probability given the stable subtropical pattern and limited cold-air advection this late in the season. Updated NHC or CMA briefings on regional systems could shift these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日深圳最低气温？
8月26日深圳最低气温？
22°C or below 84%
23°C 46%
24°C 46%
25°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
22°C or below
84%
23°C
46%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
25%
29°C
24%
30°C
46%
31°C
46%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 84%
23°C 46%
24°C 46%
25°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
22°C or below
$0 交易量
84%
23°C
$0 交易量
46%
24°C
$0 交易量
46%
25°C
$0 交易量
46%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
28%
28°C
$0 交易量
25%
29°C
$0 交易量
24%
30°C
$0 交易量
46%
31°C
$0 交易量
46%
32°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate typical August conditions for Shenzhen, with nighttime lows around 26°C driven by high humidity, monsoon moisture, and frequent cloud cover or showers that limit radiative cooling. Historical data place the seasonal average low near 26–27°C, while current short-range guidance shows 25–27°C ranges for August 26 amid ongoing thunderstorm activity and possible typhoon influences. Trader consensus heavily favors 22°C or below as the leading outcome, likely reflecting uncertainty in model runs regarding localized cooling from heavy rainfall or wind shifts, though warmer scenarios around 25–27°C retain substantial implied probability given the stable subtropical pattern and limited cold-air advection this late in the season. Updated NHC or CMA briefings on regional systems could shift these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate typical August conditions for Shenzhen, with nighttime lows around 26°C driven by high humidity, monsoon moisture, and frequent cloud cover or showers that limit radiative cooling. Historical data place the seasonal average low near 26–27°C, while current short-range guidance shows 25–27°C ranges for August 26 amid ongoing thunderstorm activity and possible typhoon influences. Trader consensus heavily favors 22°C or below as the leading outcome, likely reflecting uncertainty in model runs regarding localized cooling from heavy rainfall or wind shifts, though warmer scenarios around 25–27°C retain substantial implied probability given the stable subtropical pattern and limited cold-air advection this late in the season. Updated NHC or CMA briefings on regional systems could shift these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from models and agencies indicate typical August conditions for Shenzhen, with nighttime lows around 26°C driven by high humidity, monsoon moisture, and frequent cloud cover or showers that limit radiative cooling. Historical data place the seasonal average low near 26–27°C, while current short-range guidance shows 25–27°C ranges for August 26 amid ongoing thunderstorm activity and possible typhoon influences. Trader consensus heavily favors 22°C or below as the leading outcome, likely reflecting uncertainty in model runs regarding localized cooling from heavy rainfall or wind shifts, though warmer scenarios around 25–27°C retain substantial implied probability given the stable subtropical pattern and limited cold-air advection this late in the season. Updated NHC or CMA briefings on regional systems could shift these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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