Recent forecasts from Singapore's meteorological service and global models indicate nighttime minimum temperatures on August 26 will likely hold near 27–28°C amid prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and moderate El Niño warming. Persistent high humidity, light southeasterly winds, and a 50–70% chance of localized afternoon thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows above the long-term August average of roughly 25.3°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable tropical dynamics against occasional heavier showers that could briefly dip readings toward 26°C or sustain them near 28°C, producing the tightest market-implied odds on those two outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine any steering or rainfall impacts on the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月26日的最低温度?
24°C 46%
25°C 46%
26°C 46%
29°C 46%
22°C or below
41%
23°C
14%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
37%
28°C
41%
29°C
46%
30°C
46%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
41%
24°C 46%
25°C 46%
26°C 46%
29°C 46%
22°C or below
41%
23°C
14%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
37%
28°C
41%
29°C
46%
30°C
46%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Singapore's meteorological service and global models indicate nighttime minimum temperatures on August 26 will likely hold near 27–28°C amid prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and moderate El Niño warming. Persistent high humidity, light southeasterly winds, and a 50–70% chance of localized afternoon thunderstorms limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows above the long-term August average of roughly 25.3°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable tropical dynamics against occasional heavier showers that could briefly dip readings toward 26°C or sustain them near 28°C, producing the tightest market-implied odds on those two outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine any steering or rainfall impacts on the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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