Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum near 19°C for Tokyo on June 18, supported by typical mid-June climatology at the Otemachi station and ensemble guidance showing moderate overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters around 20–21°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover and humidity tied to the Baiu frontal zone, which can limit cooling or enhance it depending on timing of any scattered showers. Light winds and a stable subtropical ridge favor readings in this narrow range, with model spreads reflecting small variations in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention. Updated JMA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月18日东京最低气温?
21°C 43%
20°C 41%
19°C 9.7%
22°C 5%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
10%
20°C
41%
21°C
43%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
21°C 43%
20°C 41%
19°C 9.7%
22°C 5%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
10%
20°C
41%
21°C
43%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum near 19°C for Tokyo on June 18, supported by typical mid-June climatology at the Otemachi station and ensemble guidance showing moderate overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters around 20–21°C due to uncertainty in cloud cover and humidity tied to the Baiu frontal zone, which can limit cooling or enhance it depending on timing of any scattered showers. Light winds and a stable subtropical ridge favor readings in this narrow range, with model spreads reflecting small variations in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention. Updated JMA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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