Trader consensus on Malta's snap general election turnout favors below 85% at 48.5%, reflecting a historical downward trend—2022 marked a 60-year low of 85.6% amid Labour Party dominance—and current polls showing Prime Minister Robert Abela's PL holding a stable 10.5-point lead over the Nationalist Party as of early May surveys. The short five-week campaign, launched April 27 citing geopolitical tensions and rising energy costs from the Iran conflict, has seen routine rallies and populist pledges on healthcare, Gozo development, and bills without galvanizing opposition enthusiasm or closing the gap. Steady undecided voters and a perceived muted contest position 85-90% as the next likely band ahead of the May 30 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于<85% 49%
85-90% 37%
90-95% 24.0%
95%+ <1%
$24,507 交易量
$24,507 交易量
<85%
49%
85-90%
31%
90-95%
26%
95%+
1%
<85% 49%
85-90% 37%
90-95% 24.0%
95%+ <1%
$24,507 交易量
$24,507 交易量
<85%
49%
85-90%
31%
90-95%
26%
95%+
1%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
市场开放时间: May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Malta's snap general election turnout favors below 85% at 48.5%, reflecting a historical downward trend—2022 marked a 60-year low of 85.6% amid Labour Party dominance—and current polls showing Prime Minister Robert Abela's PL holding a stable 10.5-point lead over the Nationalist Party as of early May surveys. The short five-week campaign, launched April 27 citing geopolitical tensions and rising energy costs from the Iran conflict, has seen routine rallies and populist pledges on healthcare, Gozo development, and bills without galvanizing opposition enthusiasm or closing the gap. Steady undecided voters and a perceived muted contest position 85-90% as the next likely band ahead of the May 30 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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