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icon for 马拉尼昂州州长选举获胜者

马拉尼昂州州长选举获胜者

icon for 马拉尼昂州州长选举获胜者

马拉尼昂州州长选举获胜者

爱杜阿多·布赖德 78%

奥尔良斯·布朗当 15%

费利佩·卡马朗 2.5%

拉赫西奥·邦菲姆 2.3%

Polymarket

$11,203 交易量

爱杜阿多·布赖德 78%

奥尔良斯·布朗当 15%

费利佩·卡马朗 2.5%

拉赫西奥·邦菲姆 2.3%

Polymarket

$11,203 交易量

爱杜阿多·布赖德

$5,765 交易量

78%

奥尔良斯·布朗当

$1,923 交易量

15%

费利佩·卡马朗

$734 交易量

3%

拉赫西奥·邦菲姆

$757 交易量

2%

安德烈·路易斯

$974 交易量

1%

Enilton Rodrigues

$1,050 交易量

1%

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide leads the Maranhão 2026 gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite due to consistent polling dominance and his profile as São Luís mayor. Recent AtlasIntel surveys showed him at 50% in the first round and 58-60% in runoffs against main rivals, reflecting strong statewide name recognition from his capital-city record and PSD infrastructure ahead of the October 4 vote. Orleans Brandão trails as the primary challenger with roughly 23% support, while lower-polling names like Felipe Camarão and Lahesio Bonfim face structural hurdles, including party negotiations and possible Senate shifts. Trader consensus on Braide’s position incorporates these vote-intention trends and pre-campaign momentum, though the race remains subject to coalition developments and turnout patterns before the general election.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$11,203
结束日期
2026-10-05
市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide leads the Maranhão 2026 gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite due to consistent polling dominance and his profile as São Luís mayor. Recent AtlasIntel surveys showed him at 50% in the first round and 58-60% in runoffs against main rivals, reflecting strong statewide name recognition from his capital-city record and PSD infrastructure ahead of the October 4 vote. Orleans Brandão trails as the primary challenger with roughly 23% support, while lower-polling names like Felipe Camarão and Lahesio Bonfim face structural hurdles, including party negotiations and possible Senate shifts. Trader consensus on Braide’s position incorporates these vote-intention trends and pre-campaign momentum, though the race remains subject to coalition developments and turnout patterns before the general election.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$11,203
结束日期
2026-10-05
市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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常见问题

"马拉尼昂州州长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"爱杜阿多·布赖德",概率为 78%,其次是"奥尔良斯·布朗当",概率为 15%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 78¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 78%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"马拉尼昂州州长选举获胜者"已产生 $11.2K 的总交易量(自Jun 12, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"马拉尼昂州州长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"马拉尼昂州州长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"爱杜阿多·布赖德",概率为 78%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 78%。紧随其后的结果是"奥尔良斯·布朗当",概率为 15%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"马拉尼昂州州长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。