The fragmented field of more than ten registered candidates for Piauí's October 2026 gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender securing a decisive edge in market pricing. Recent party conventions and the close of candidate registration deadlines have formalized a broad slate—including incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) alongside challengers such as Joel Rodrigues, Geraldo Carvalho, and others—without clear coalition consolidation or major endorsements that would shift momentum. Brazilian rules requiring a first-round majority or runoff qualification amplify uncertainty around vote splitting and alliance negotiations, sustaining even implied probabilities near 40-50% across names. Upcoming polling releases and formal alliance announcements in the coming weeks could create separation by clarifying paths to the top two spots.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于朱里蒂教授 44%
圣地亚哥·贝利萨里奥 44%
吉斯瓦尔多教授 43%
古斯塔沃·费若 42%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
朱里蒂教授
44%
圣地亚哥·贝利萨里奥
44%
吉斯瓦尔多教授
43%
古斯塔沃·费若
42%
拉斐尔·丰特莱斯
42%
Ravenna da Inclusão
42%
赫拉尔多·卡瓦略
41%
卢尔德斯·梅洛
40%
德拉·卢西亚·桑托斯
39%
埃利泽乌·阿吉亚尔
38%
乔埃尔·罗德里格斯
38%
朱里蒂教授 44%
圣地亚哥·贝利萨里奥 44%
吉斯瓦尔多教授 43%
古斯塔沃·费若 42%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
朱里蒂教授
$0 交易量
44%
圣地亚哥·贝利萨里奥
$0 交易量
44%
吉斯瓦尔多教授
$0 交易量
43%
古斯塔沃·费若
$0 交易量
42%
拉斐尔·丰特莱斯
$0 交易量
42%
Ravenna da Inclusão
$0 交易量
42%
赫拉尔多·卡瓦略
$0 交易量
41%
卢尔德斯·梅洛
$0 交易量
40%
德拉·卢西亚·桑托斯
$0 交易量
39%
埃利泽乌·阿吉亚尔
$0 交易量
38%
乔埃尔·罗德里格斯
$0 交易量
38%
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of more than ten registered candidates for Piauí's October 2026 gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender securing a decisive edge in market pricing. Recent party conventions and the close of candidate registration deadlines have formalized a broad slate—including incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) alongside challengers such as Joel Rodrigues, Geraldo Carvalho, and others—without clear coalition consolidation or major endorsements that would shift momentum. Brazilian rules requiring a first-round majority or runoff qualification amplify uncertainty around vote splitting and alliance negotiations, sustaining even implied probabilities near 40-50% across names. Upcoming polling releases and formal alliance announcements in the coming weeks could create separation by clarifying paths to the top two spots.
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of more than ten registered candidates for Piauí's October 2026 gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender securing a decisive edge in market pricing. Recent party conventions and the close of candidate registration deadlines have formalized a broad slate—including incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) alongside challengers such as Joel Rodrigues, Geraldo Carvalho, and others—without clear coalition consolidation or major endorsements that would shift momentum. Brazilian rules requiring a first-round majority or runoff qualification amplify uncertainty around vote splitting and alliance negotiations, sustaining even implied probabilities near 40-50% across names. Upcoming polling releases and formal alliance announcements in the coming weeks could create separation by clarifying paths to the top two spots.
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field of more than ten registered candidates for Piauí's October 2026 gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender securing a decisive edge in market pricing. Recent party conventions and the close of candidate registration deadlines have formalized a broad slate—including incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) alongside challengers such as Joel Rodrigues, Geraldo Carvalho, and others—without clear coalition consolidation or major endorsements that would shift momentum. Brazilian rules requiring a first-round majority or runoff qualification amplify uncertainty around vote splitting and alliance negotiations, sustaining even implied probabilities near 40-50% across names. Upcoming polling releases and formal alliance announcements in the coming weeks could create separation by clarifying paths to the top two spots.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题