Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States and the Quad countries have intensified in recent weeks to secure a humanitarian ceasefire between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio publicly urged an immediate truce and safe humanitarian corridors in early May 2026, building on the Quad’s September 2025 roadmap that envisions a short-term pause followed by broader talks. Both parties continue to condition any halt in fighting on territorial withdrawals or disarmament demands, while drone strikes have driven the majority of recent civilian casualties. International pressure for unrestricted aid access and civilian protection remains high amid the fourth year of conflict, though previous mediation rounds have repeatedly stalled without binding commitments from either side.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$92,665 交易量
2026年6月30日
13%
2026年12月31日
22%
$92,665 交易量
2026年6月30日
13%
2026年12月31日
22%
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
市场开放时间: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States and the Quad countries have intensified in recent weeks to secure a humanitarian ceasefire between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio publicly urged an immediate truce and safe humanitarian corridors in early May 2026, building on the Quad’s September 2025 roadmap that envisions a short-term pause followed by broader talks. Both parties continue to condition any halt in fighting on territorial withdrawals or disarmament demands, while drone strikes have driven the majority of recent civilian casualties. International pressure for unrestricted aid access and civilian protection remains high amid the fourth year of conflict, though previous mediation rounds have repeatedly stalled without binding commitments from either side.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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