United Russia holds the leading trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and the proportional representation system with its 7% threshold. Recent VCIOM polling has shown New People rising to around 13% and briefly placing second by appealing to younger and urban voters amid economic and digital policy concerns, though FOM surveys keep it lower and trailing LDPR and the Communist Party. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries and electronic voting expansions, reinforce United Russia's expected path to a supermajority among the 450 seats, while systemic opposition parties face limited momentum from ongoing regional election patterns. These dynamics underscore the managed nature of Russia's party system ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 61%
新人民党（NL） 30.6%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 3.0%
$8,254,364 交易量
$8,254,364 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
61%
新人民党（NL）
31%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
3%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
1%
罗迪纳
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 61%
新人民党（NL） 30.6%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 3.0%
$8,254,364 交易量
$8,254,364 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$2,154,265 交易量
61%
新人民党（NL）
$1,064,572 交易量
31%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$2,276,751 交易量
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$658,279 交易量
3%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
$574,590 交易量
1%
罗迪纳
$942,708 交易量
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
$583,215 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds the leading trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and the proportional representation system with its 7% threshold. Recent VCIOM polling has shown New People rising to around 13% and briefly placing second by appealing to younger and urban voters amid economic and digital policy concerns, though FOM surveys keep it lower and trailing LDPR and the Communist Party. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries and electronic voting expansions, reinforce United Russia's expected path to a supermajority among the 450 seats, while systemic opposition parties face limited momentum from ongoing regional election patterns. These dynamics underscore the managed nature of Russia's party system ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$8,254,364结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds the leading trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and the proportional representation system with its 7% threshold. Recent VCIOM polling has shown New People rising to around 13% and briefly placing second by appealing to younger and urban voters amid economic and digital policy concerns, though FOM surveys keep it lower and trailing LDPR and the Communist Party. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries and electronic voting expansions, reinforce United Russia's expected path to a supermajority among the 450 seats, while systemic opposition parties face limited momentum from ongoing regional election patterns. These dynamics underscore the managed nature of Russia's party system ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$8,254,364结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds the leading trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control over single-mandate districts, and the proportional representation system with its 7% threshold. Recent VCIOM polling has shown New People rising to around 13% and briefly placing second by appealing to younger and urban voters amid economic and digital policy concerns, though FOM surveys keep it lower and trailing LDPR and the Communist Party. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including party primaries and electronic voting expansions, reinforce United Russia's expected path to a supermajority among the 450 seats, while systemic opposition parties face limited momentum from ongoing regional election patterns. These dynamics underscore the managed nature of Russia's party system ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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