United Russia holds a commanding lead in recent polling averages and benefits from incumbency, administrative resources, and alignment with the Kremlin ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election. This setup under Russia's managed multi-party system makes a strong performance by the ruling party the consensus outcome among traders. New People has shown rising support in some July 2026 surveys, placing it ahead of the CPRF and LDPR in several measurements and establishing it as the main alternative among registered systemic parties. Other listed parties trail further behind in both polls and historical results, with limited paths to overtake the leaders given registration rules, the five-percent threshold, and the three-day voting format.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 68%
新人民党（NL） 25.4%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 4.5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 2.5%
$16,726,629 交易量
$16,726,629 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
68%
新人民党（NL）
25%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
2%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
<1%
罗迪纳
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 68%
新人民党（NL） 25.4%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 4.5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 2.5%
$16,726,629 交易量
$16,726,629 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$6,194,468 交易量
68%
新人民党（NL）
$1,848,675 交易量
25%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$3,028,147 交易量
5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$1,165,546 交易量
2%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
$1,215,412 交易量
<1%
罗迪纳
$2,013,727 交易量
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
$1,260,653 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds a commanding lead in recent polling averages and benefits from incumbency, administrative resources, and alignment with the Kremlin ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election. This setup under Russia's managed multi-party system makes a strong performance by the ruling party the consensus outcome among traders. New People has shown rising support in some July 2026 surveys, placing it ahead of the CPRF and LDPR in several measurements and establishing it as the main alternative among registered systemic parties. Other listed parties trail further behind in both polls and historical results, with limited paths to overtake the leaders given registration rules, the five-percent threshold, and the three-day voting format.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$16,726,629结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds a commanding lead in recent polling averages and benefits from incumbency, administrative resources, and alignment with the Kremlin ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election. This setup under Russia's managed multi-party system makes a strong performance by the ruling party the consensus outcome among traders. New People has shown rising support in some July 2026 surveys, placing it ahead of the CPRF and LDPR in several measurements and establishing it as the main alternative among registered systemic parties. Other listed parties trail further behind in both polls and historical results, with limited paths to overtake the leaders given registration rules, the five-percent threshold, and the three-day voting format.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$16,726,629结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds a commanding lead in recent polling averages and benefits from incumbency, administrative resources, and alignment with the Kremlin ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election. This setup under Russia's managed multi-party system makes a strong performance by the ruling party the consensus outcome among traders. New People has shown rising support in some July 2026 surveys, placing it ahead of the CPRF and LDPR in several measurements and establishing it as the main alternative among registered systemic parties. Other listed parties trail further behind in both polls and historical results, with limited paths to overtake the leaders given registration rules, the five-percent threshold, and the three-day voting format.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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