Israeli officials have signaled that a renewed major ground offensive remains under active consideration to compel Hamas disarmament, as the fragile US-brokered ceasefire continues to erode through incremental IDF territorial gains along the Yellow Line and a 35 percent rise in airstrikes since April. The most recent catalyst was the May 16 precision strike in Gaza City that eliminated senior Hamas military commander Izz al-Din al-Haddad, underscoring Israel's ongoing targeted operations while military planners finalize options for larger-scale action if Hamas refuses to surrender weapons. These developments sustain trader focus on the balance between diplomatic pressure for de-escalation and Israel's stated security priorities, with scheduled talks on ceasefire implementation and any shifts in US or international mediation likely to influence near-term probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$554,851 交易量
2025-10-31
6月30日
16%
12月31日
45%
$554,851 交易量
6月30日
$54,006 交易量
16%
12月31日
$24,102 交易量
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled that a renewed major ground offensive remains under active consideration to compel Hamas disarmament, as the fragile US-brokered ceasefire continues to erode through incremental IDF territorial gains along the Yellow Line and a 35 percent rise in airstrikes since April. The most recent catalyst was the May 16 precision strike in Gaza City that eliminated senior Hamas military commander Izz al-Din al-Haddad, underscoring Israel's ongoing targeted operations while military planners finalize options for larger-scale action if Hamas refuses to surrender weapons. These developments sustain trader focus on the balance between diplomatic pressure for de-escalation and Israel's stated security priorities, with scheduled talks on ceasefire implementation and any shifts in US or international mediation likely to influence near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
交易量
$554,851结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled that a renewed major ground offensive remains under active consideration to compel Hamas disarmament, as the fragile US-brokered ceasefire continues to erode through incremental IDF territorial gains along the Yellow Line and a 35 percent rise in airstrikes since April. The most recent catalyst was the May 16 precision strike in Gaza City that eliminated senior Hamas military commander Izz al-Din al-Haddad, underscoring Israel's ongoing targeted operations while military planners finalize options for larger-scale action if Hamas refuses to surrender weapons. These developments sustain trader focus on the balance between diplomatic pressure for de-escalation and Israel's stated security priorities, with scheduled talks on ceasefire implementation and any shifts in US or international mediation likely to influence near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$554,851结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli officials have signaled that a renewed major ground offensive remains under active consideration to compel Hamas disarmament, as the fragile US-brokered ceasefire continues to erode through incremental IDF territorial gains along the Yellow Line and a 35 percent rise in airstrikes since April. The most recent catalyst was the May 16 precision strike in Gaza City that eliminated senior Hamas military commander Izz al-Din al-Haddad, underscoring Israel's ongoing targeted operations while military planners finalize options for larger-scale action if Hamas refuses to surrender weapons. These developments sustain trader focus on the balance between diplomatic pressure for de-escalation and Israel's stated security priorities, with scheduled talks on ceasefire implementation and any shifts in US or international mediation likely to influence near-term probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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