Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas (conducted September 18–20) shows Arthur Lira leading Senate intentions at 41.2% in the combined first- and second-vote scenario, with Marina JHC at 37.8% and Renan Calheiros at 34.6%, all within the margin of error. This leaves the contest for the second seat tightly matched between Marina JHC and Renan, while Lira’s alliance with her group challenges long-standing Calheiros family influence in Alagoas. High levels of undecided voters and blanks persist ahead of the October 4 vote, where each elector selects two candidates. These dynamics sustain the close implied probabilities for second place, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances among lower-polling contenders like Davi Davino Filho potentially altering the ordering.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMarina JHC 32%
Renan 31%
Arthur Lira 30%
Davi Davino Filho 1.8%
$26,401 Vol.
$26,401 Vol.
30. Juni 2027
Marina JHC
32%
Renan
31%
Arthur Lira
30%
Davi Davino Filho
2%
Dr. Wanderley
1%
Alexandre Fleming
<1%
Mariedson
<1%
Marina JHC 32%
Renan 31%
Arthur Lira 30%
Davi Davino Filho 1.8%
$26,401 Vol.
$26,401 Vol.
30. Juni 2027
Marina JHC
$5,818 Vol.
32%
Renan
$9,703 Vol.
31%
Arthur Lira
$6,442 Vol.
30%
Davi Davino Filho
$1,326 Vol.
2%
Dr. Wanderley
$1,634 Vol.
1%
Alexandre Fleming
$716 Vol.
<1%
Mariedson
$763 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas (conducted September 18–20) shows Arthur Lira leading Senate intentions at 41.2% in the combined first- and second-vote scenario, with Marina JHC at 37.8% and Renan Calheiros at 34.6%, all within the margin of error. This leaves the contest for the second seat tightly matched between Marina JHC and Renan, while Lira’s alliance with her group challenges long-standing Calheiros family influence in Alagoas. High levels of undecided voters and blanks persist ahead of the October 4 vote, where each elector selects two candidates. These dynamics sustain the close implied probabilities for second place, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances among lower-polling contenders like Davi Davino Filho potentially altering the ordering.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Volumen
$26,401Enddatum
1. Juli 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas (conducted September 18–20) shows Arthur Lira leading Senate intentions at 41.2% in the combined first- and second-vote scenario, with Marina JHC at 37.8% and Renan Calheiros at 34.6%, all within the margin of error. This leaves the contest for the second seat tightly matched between Marina JHC and Renan, while Lira’s alliance with her group challenges long-standing Calheiros family influence in Alagoas. High levels of undecided voters and blanks persist ahead of the October 4 vote, where each elector selects two candidates. These dynamics sustain the close implied probabilities for second place, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances among lower-polling contenders like Davi Davino Filho potentially altering the ordering.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$26,401Enddatum
1. Juli 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Paraná Pesquisas (conducted September 18–20) shows Arthur Lira leading Senate intentions at 41.2% in the combined first- and second-vote scenario, with Marina JHC at 37.8% and Renan Calheiros at 34.6%, all within the margin of error. This leaves the contest for the second seat tightly matched between Marina JHC and Renan, while Lira’s alliance with her group challenges long-standing Calheiros family influence in Alagoas. High levels of undecided voters and blanks persist ahead of the October 4 vote, where each elector selects two candidates. These dynamics sustain the close implied probabilities for second place, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances among lower-polling contenders like Davi Davino Filho potentially altering the ordering.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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