Recent polls from mid-June through September show Marcelo Castro (MDB) and Júlio César (PSD) leading or tied for the two Piauí Senate seats, with Ciro Nogueira (PP) close behind but hampered by the highest rejection ratings. President Lula’s September endorsement of Castro and Júlio César, paired with explicit opposition to Nogueira, has reinforced their coalition advantage ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price Júlio César highest for second place because first-preference data often places Castro ahead, leaving the second seat contested between Júlio and Nogueira. The market remains tight because undecided voters, blank/null ballots, and late shifts in second-preference rankings could still reorder the final two spots.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJulio Cesar 54.6%
Ciro Nogueira 26%
Marcelo Castro 20.5%
Tiago Junqueira 4.8%
$46,023 Vol.
$46,023 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Julio Cesar
54%
Ciro Nogueira
26%
Marcelo Castro
21%
Tiago Junqueira
5%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Julio Cesar 54.6%
Ciro Nogueira 26%
Marcelo Castro 20.5%
Tiago Junqueira 4.8%
$46,023 Vol.
$46,023 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Julio Cesar
$6,678 Vol.
54%
Ciro Nogueira
$17,431 Vol.
26%
Marcelo Castro
$8,232 Vol.
21%
Tiago Junqueira
$1,253 Vol.
5%
Francinaldo Leão
$846 Vol.
<1%
Alexandre Mariano
$816 Vol.
<1%
Cloves José
$820 Vol.
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
$791 Vol.
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
$801 Vol.
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
$782 Vol.
<1%
Toinho Dufrango
$806 Vol.
<1%
Antônio Barros
$730 Vol.
<1%
Antônio José Lira
$778 Vol.
<1%
Danniel Rocha
$759 Vol.
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
$767 Vol.
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
$785 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Lopes
$643 Vol.
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
$782 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Sena
$791 Vol.
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
$732 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from mid-June through September show Marcelo Castro (MDB) and Júlio César (PSD) leading or tied for the two Piauí Senate seats, with Ciro Nogueira (PP) close behind but hampered by the highest rejection ratings. President Lula’s September endorsement of Castro and Júlio César, paired with explicit opposition to Nogueira, has reinforced their coalition advantage ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price Júlio César highest for second place because first-preference data often places Castro ahead, leaving the second seat contested between Júlio and Nogueira. The market remains tight because undecided voters, blank/null ballots, and late shifts in second-preference rankings could still reorder the final two spots.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volumen
$46,023Enddatum
1. Juli 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from mid-June through September show Marcelo Castro (MDB) and Júlio César (PSD) leading or tied for the two Piauí Senate seats, with Ciro Nogueira (PP) close behind but hampered by the highest rejection ratings. President Lula’s September endorsement of Castro and Júlio César, paired with explicit opposition to Nogueira, has reinforced their coalition advantage ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price Júlio César highest for second place because first-preference data often places Castro ahead, leaving the second seat contested between Júlio and Nogueira. The market remains tight because undecided voters, blank/null ballots, and late shifts in second-preference rankings could still reorder the final two spots.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$46,023Enddatum
1. Juli 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from mid-June through September show Marcelo Castro (MDB) and Júlio César (PSD) leading or tied for the two Piauí Senate seats, with Ciro Nogueira (PP) close behind but hampered by the highest rejection ratings. President Lula’s September endorsement of Castro and Júlio César, paired with explicit opposition to Nogueira, has reinforced their coalition advantage ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders price Júlio César highest for second place because first-preference data often places Castro ahead, leaving the second seat contested between Júlio and Nogueira. The market remains tight because undecided voters, blank/null ballots, and late shifts in second-preference rankings could still reorder the final two spots.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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