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icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 99.4%

New People (NL) <1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) <1%

United Russia (ER) <1%

Polymarket

$823,024 Vol.

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 99.4%

New People (NL) <1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) <1%

United Russia (ER) <1%

Polymarket

$823,024 Vol.

icon for United Russia (ER)

United Russia (ER)

$85,685 Vol.

<1%

icon for Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$316,468 Vol.

99%

icon for A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

$25,201 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

$161,389 Vol.

<1%

icon for New People (NL)

New People (NL)

$127,838 Vol.

1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$19,680 Vol.

<1%

icon for Civic Platform (GP)

Civic Platform (GP)

$11,575 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jabloko

Jabloko

$75,189 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.KPRF maintains overwhelming trader consensus for second place in Russia's 2026 State Duma election due to its longstanding role as the largest opposition party, backed by extensive regional organizations and voter loyalty that polls consistently placed ahead of LDPR and New People through mid-2026. Earlier surveys from FOM, WCIOM, and others projected KPRF securing roughly 11-15% support, sufficient to edge competitors under the 5% threshold system for party-list seats, while United Russia dominated overall. Preliminary vote counts after the September 18-20 balloting confirm this positioning, with KPRF at approximately 13.8-14% versus single-digit shares for LDPR and New People. Late shifts remain possible only through dramatic changes in single-mandate results or official revisions, though such outcomes have limited historical precedent in recent cycles.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$823,024
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Einspruchsfrist

Endgültig

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.KPRF maintains overwhelming trader consensus for second place in Russia's 2026 State Duma election due to its longstanding role as the largest opposition party, backed by extensive regional organizations and voter loyalty that polls consistently placed ahead of LDPR and New People through mid-2026. Earlier surveys from FOM, WCIOM, and others projected KPRF securing roughly 11-15% support, sufficient to edge competitors under the 5% threshold system for party-list seats, while United Russia dominated overall. Preliminary vote counts after the September 18-20 balloting confirm this positioning, with KPRF at approximately 13.8-14% versus single-digit shares for LDPR and New People. Late shifts remain possible only through dramatic changes in single-mandate results or official revisions, though such outcomes have limited historical precedent in recent cycles.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$823,024
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Einspruchsfrist

Endgültig

Verwandte

icon for Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

98%
icon for Wird Neue Leute (NL) die vierthöchste Anzahl an Sitzen bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?

Wird Neue Leute (NL) die vierthöchste Anzahl an Sitzen bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?

98%
Ja
icon for Wird Einiges Russland (ER) die meisten Sitze bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?

Wird Einiges Russland (ER) die meisten Sitze bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?

100%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)" mit 99%, gefolgt von „New People (NL)" mit 1%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 99¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $823K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 21, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place" ist „Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)" mit 99%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „New People (NL)" mit 1%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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