President Trump's approval rating has declined steadily in 2026, reaching second-term lows of 37-40% in major polling averages as of mid-May, down from early-year peaks around 44%. Surging gas prices above $4.50 per gallon, triggered by the ongoing Iran war escalation since March, alongside dissatisfaction with inflation and economic handling, have driven recent drops, with early May polls hitting 34-36% in Reuters/Ipsos and others. Even Republican strong approval has softened amid these pressures. Traders monitor potential rebounds from Iran diplomatic breakthroughs, favorable economic data, or policy successes, against midterm election dynamics in November 2026 that historically challenge incumbents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 44%
11%
↑ 45%
10%
↑ 46%
14%
↑ 47%
43%
↑ 48%
4%
↑ 49%
10%
↑ 50%
3%
$4,837 Vol.
↑ 44%
$2,703 Vol.
11%
↑ 45%
$137 Vol.
10%
↑ 46%
$721 Vol.
14%
↑ 47%
$0 Vol.
43%
↑ 48%
$392 Vol.
4%
↑ 49%
$0 Vol.
10%
↑ 50%
$885 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has declined steadily in 2026, reaching second-term lows of 37-40% in major polling averages as of mid-May, down from early-year peaks around 44%. Surging gas prices above $4.50 per gallon, triggered by the ongoing Iran war escalation since March, alongside dissatisfaction with inflation and economic handling, have driven recent drops, with early May polls hitting 34-36% in Reuters/Ipsos and others. Even Republican strong approval has softened amid these pressures. Traders monitor potential rebounds from Iran diplomatic breakthroughs, favorable economic data, or policy successes, against midterm election dynamics in November 2026 that historically challenge incumbents.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$4,837End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has declined steadily in 2026, reaching second-term lows of 37-40% in major polling averages as of mid-May, down from early-year peaks around 44%. Surging gas prices above $4.50 per gallon, triggered by the ongoing Iran war escalation since March, alongside dissatisfaction with inflation and economic handling, have driven recent drops, with early May polls hitting 34-36% in Reuters/Ipsos and others. Even Republican strong approval has softened amid these pressures. Traders monitor potential rebounds from Iran diplomatic breakthroughs, favorable economic data, or policy successes, against midterm election dynamics in November 2026 that historically challenge incumbents.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$4,837End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has declined steadily in 2026, reaching second-term lows of 37-40% in major polling averages as of mid-May, down from early-year peaks around 44%. Surging gas prices above $4.50 per gallon, triggered by the ongoing Iran war escalation since March, alongside dissatisfaction with inflation and economic handling, have driven recent drops, with early May polls hitting 34-36% in Reuters/Ipsos and others. Even Republican strong approval has softened amid these pressures. Traders monitor potential rebounds from Iran diplomatic breakthroughs, favorable economic data, or policy successes, against midterm election dynamics in November 2026 that historically challenge incumbents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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