The tight race for Bahia governor hinges on the rematch between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Recent polls from multiple firms show the pair in a technical tie or within a few points, reflecting Rodrigues’s stable approval ratings on education and infrastructure alongside Neto’s strength in urban areas and alignment with the national right-wing bloc. The August 9 debate offered voters direct comparisons on health, security, and economic issues without producing a clear shift, while national party realignments and local mayor endorsements have kept momentum balanced. Traders price the outcome near even because these countervailing factors—incumbency advantages, polling swings, and limited late-breaking catalysts—continue to offset one another.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Bahía
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Bahía
ACM Neto 50%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 47%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$107,975 Vol.
$107,975 Vol.
4 oct 2026
ACM Neto
50%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
47%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
ACM Neto 50%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 47%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$107,975 Vol.
$107,975 Vol.
4 oct 2026
ACM Neto
$35,900 Vol.
50%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$34,896 Vol.
47%
Kleber Rosa
$11,407 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$9,514 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for Bahia governor hinges on the rematch between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Recent polls from multiple firms show the pair in a technical tie or within a few points, reflecting Rodrigues’s stable approval ratings on education and infrastructure alongside Neto’s strength in urban areas and alignment with the national right-wing bloc. The August 9 debate offered voters direct comparisons on health, security, and economic issues without producing a clear shift, while national party realignments and local mayor endorsements have kept momentum balanced. Traders price the outcome near even because these countervailing factors—incumbency advantages, polling swings, and limited late-breaking catalysts—continue to offset one another.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$107,975Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for Bahia governor hinges on the rematch between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Recent polls from multiple firms show the pair in a technical tie or within a few points, reflecting Rodrigues’s stable approval ratings on education and infrastructure alongside Neto’s strength in urban areas and alignment with the national right-wing bloc. The August 9 debate offered voters direct comparisons on health, security, and economic issues without producing a clear shift, while national party realignments and local mayor endorsements have kept momentum balanced. Traders price the outcome near even because these countervailing factors—incumbency advantages, polling swings, and limited late-breaking catalysts—continue to offset one another.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$107,975Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight race for Bahia governor hinges on the rematch between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Recent polls from multiple firms show the pair in a technical tie or within a few points, reflecting Rodrigues’s stable approval ratings on education and infrastructure alongside Neto’s strength in urban areas and alignment with the national right-wing bloc. The August 9 debate offered voters direct comparisons on health, security, and economic issues without producing a clear shift, while national party realignments and local mayor endorsements have kept momentum balanced. Traders price the outcome near even because these countervailing factors—incumbency advantages, polling swings, and limited late-breaking catalysts—continue to offset one another.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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