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icon for Elección a la Alcaldía de Los Ángeles: ¿Recuento de la 1ª ronda?

Elección a la Alcaldía de Los Ángeles: ¿Recuento de la 1ª ronda?

icon for Elección a la Alcaldía de Los Ángeles: ¿Recuento de la 1ª ronda?

Elección a la Alcaldía de Los Ángeles: ¿Recuento de la 1ª ronda?

5% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

5% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.The first-round primary results from June 2 show incumbent Karen Bass at 34.3 percent and Nithya Raman advancing in second at 29 percent over Spencer Pratt at 25.5 percent, creating a margin exceeding 29,000 votes between the second- and third-place finishers in a field of more than a dozen candidates. Los Angeles County election officials continue routine ballot processing toward the July 2 certification deadline, with no candidate securing an outright majority and no verified discrepancies large enough to trigger automatic review under state procedures. Trader consensus reflects the limited grounds and high costs for voluntary recounts in California municipal races, alongside the absence of formal requests or successful court challenges to date. A recount could still emerge if Pratt or another contender formally petitions and funds one before certification or if new evidence of tabulation errors prompts judicial intervention, though historical patterns indicate such outcomes remain uncommon absent narrow margins or documented irregularities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff.

Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volumen
$3,164
Fecha de finalización
15 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.The first-round primary results from June 2 show incumbent Karen Bass at 34.3 percent and Nithya Raman advancing in second at 29 percent over Spencer Pratt at 25.5 percent, creating a margin exceeding 29,000 votes between the second- and third-place finishers in a field of more than a dozen candidates. Los Angeles County election officials continue routine ballot processing toward the July 2 certification deadline, with no candidate securing an outright majority and no verified discrepancies large enough to trigger automatic review under state procedures. Trader consensus reflects the limited grounds and high costs for voluntary recounts in California municipal races, alongside the absence of formal requests or successful court challenges to date. A recount could still emerge if Pratt or another contender formally petitions and funds one before certification or if new evidence of tabulation errors prompts judicial intervention, though historical patterns indicate such outcomes remain uncommon absent narrow margins or documented irregularities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff.

Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volumen
$3,164
Fecha de finalización
15 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is initiated by election authorities by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once election authorities order, schedule, or begin a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidates will advance to the runoff. Minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities, including the city and county of Los Angeles.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección a la Alcaldía de Los Ángeles: ¿Recuento de la 1ª ronda?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Elección para alcalde de Los Ángeles: ¿Recuento de la primera vuelta?" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 5¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 5% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección a la Alcaldía de Los Ángeles: ¿Recuento de la 1ª ronda?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 9, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección a la Alcaldía de Los Ángeles: ¿Recuento de la 1ª ronda?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "Elección a la Alcaldía de Los Ángeles: ¿Recuento de la 1ª ronda?" es "¿Elección para alcalde de Los Ángeles: ¿Recuento de la primera vuelta?" con solo 5%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección a la Alcaldía de Los Ángeles: ¿Recuento de la 1ª ronda?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.