Eduardo Braide leads the Maranhão 2026 gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite due to consistent polling dominance and his profile as São Luís mayor. Recent AtlasIntel surveys showed him at 50% in the first round and 58-60% in runoffs against main rivals, reflecting strong statewide name recognition from his capital-city record and PSD infrastructure ahead of the October 4 vote. Orleans Brandão trails as the primary challenger with roughly 23% support, while lower-polling names like Felipe Camarão and Lahesio Bonfim face structural hurdles, including party negotiations and possible Senate shifts. Trader consensus on Braide’s position incorporates these vote-intention trends and pre-campaign momentum, though the race remains subject to coalition developments and turnout patterns before the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maranhão
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maranhão
Eduardo Braide 78%
Orleans Brandão 15%
Felipe Camarão 2.5%
Lahesio Bonfim 2.3%
$11,203 Vol.
$11,203 Vol.
5 oct 2026
Eduardo Braide
78%
Orleans Brandão
15%
Felipe Camarão
3%
Lahesio Bonfim
2%
André Luís
1%
Enilton Rodrigues
1%
Eduardo Braide 78%
Orleans Brandão 15%
Felipe Camarão 2.5%
Lahesio Bonfim 2.3%
$11,203 Vol.
$11,203 Vol.
5 oct 2026
Eduardo Braide
$5,765 Vol.
78%
Orleans Brandão
$1,923 Vol.
15%
Felipe Camarão
$734 Vol.
3%
Lahesio Bonfim
$757 Vol.
2%
André Luís
$974 Vol.
1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$1,050 Vol.
1%
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide leads the Maranhão 2026 gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite due to consistent polling dominance and his profile as São Luís mayor. Recent AtlasIntel surveys showed him at 50% in the first round and 58-60% in runoffs against main rivals, reflecting strong statewide name recognition from his capital-city record and PSD infrastructure ahead of the October 4 vote. Orleans Brandão trails as the primary challenger with roughly 23% support, while lower-polling names like Felipe Camarão and Lahesio Bonfim face structural hurdles, including party negotiations and possible Senate shifts. Trader consensus on Braide’s position incorporates these vote-intention trends and pre-campaign momentum, though the race remains subject to coalition developments and turnout patterns before the general election.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Volumen
$11,203Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide leads the Maranhão 2026 gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite due to consistent polling dominance and his profile as São Luís mayor. Recent AtlasIntel surveys showed him at 50% in the first round and 58-60% in runoffs against main rivals, reflecting strong statewide name recognition from his capital-city record and PSD infrastructure ahead of the October 4 vote. Orleans Brandão trails as the primary challenger with roughly 23% support, while lower-polling names like Felipe Camarão and Lahesio Bonfim face structural hurdles, including party negotiations and possible Senate shifts. Trader consensus on Braide’s position incorporates these vote-intention trends and pre-campaign momentum, though the race remains subject to coalition developments and turnout patterns before the general election.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$11,203Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braide leads the Maranhão 2026 gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite due to consistent polling dominance and his profile as São Luís mayor. Recent AtlasIntel surveys showed him at 50% in the first round and 58-60% in runoffs against main rivals, reflecting strong statewide name recognition from his capital-city record and PSD infrastructure ahead of the October 4 vote. Orleans Brandão trails as the primary challenger with roughly 23% support, while lower-polling names like Felipe Camarão and Lahesio Bonfim face structural hurdles, including party negotiations and possible Senate shifts. Trader consensus on Braide’s position incorporates these vote-intention trends and pre-campaign momentum, though the race remains subject to coalition developments and turnout patterns before the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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