Incumbent Democrat George Latimer maintains a commanding lead in New York’s 16th congressional district race ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s D+18 partisan voting index and Latimer’s 71 percent victory in 2024 underpin trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee. Latimer faces no primary opposition following the April filing deadline and holds substantial cash reserves, while the Republican candidate reports no fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic. A major scandal, sudden health issue for the incumbent, or an unexpected national Republican wave could still narrow the margin, though structural advantages and lack of competitive challengers limit realistic paths to an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-16
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-16
$34,798 Vol.
$34,798 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
2%
$34,798 Vol.
$34,798 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$25,026 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$9,772 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer maintains a commanding lead in New York’s 16th congressional district race ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s D+18 partisan voting index and Latimer’s 71 percent victory in 2024 underpin trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee. Latimer faces no primary opposition following the April filing deadline and holds substantial cash reserves, while the Republican candidate reports no fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic. A major scandal, sudden health issue for the incumbent, or an unexpected national Republican wave could still narrow the margin, though structural advantages and lack of competitive challengers limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$34,798Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer maintains a commanding lead in New York’s 16th congressional district race ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s D+18 partisan voting index and Latimer’s 71 percent victory in 2024 underpin trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee. Latimer faces no primary opposition following the April filing deadline and holds substantial cash reserves, while the Republican candidate reports no fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic. A major scandal, sudden health issue for the incumbent, or an unexpected national Republican wave could still narrow the margin, though structural advantages and lack of competitive challengers limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$34,798Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer maintains a commanding lead in New York’s 16th congressional district race ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s D+18 partisan voting index and Latimer’s 71 percent victory in 2024 underpin trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democratic nominee. Latimer faces no primary opposition following the April filing deadline and holds substantial cash reserves, while the Republican candidate reports no fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic. A major scandal, sudden health issue for the incumbent, or an unexpected national Republican wave could still narrow the margin, though structural advantages and lack of competitive challengers limit realistic paths to an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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