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icon for Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska

Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska

icon for Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska

Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 36%

Jusuf Arifagić 3.5%

Begija Smajić 3.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 36%

Jusuf Arifagić 3.5%

Begija Smajić 3.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Savo Minić

Savo Minić

$589 Vol.

60%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$443 Vol.

36%

icon for Jusuf Arifagić

Jusuf Arifagić

$119 Vol.

3%

icon for Begija Smajić

Begija Smajić

$108 Vol.

3%

icon for Igor Balukčić

Igor Balukčić

$101 Vol.

2%

icon for Ivo Kamenjašević

Ivo Kamenjašević

$81 Vol.

1%

icon for Franjo Jukić

Franjo Jukić

$101 Vol.

1%

icon for Bogdan Jovanović

Bogdan Jovanović

$45 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marko Jorgić

Marko Jorgić

$81 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ćamil Duraković

Ćamil Duraković

$108 Vol.

6%

icon for Ramiz Salkić

Ramiz Salkić

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivan Begić

Ivan Begić

$79 Vol.

<1%

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić leads the Republika Srpska presidential race with trader consensus at 60 percent, reflecting the ruling SNSD's organizational strength and unified coalition backing announced in June 2026. As prime minister since 2025 and the party's nominee with endorsements from partners including United Srpska and the Socialist Party, Minić benefits from incumbency advantages in a Serb-majority entity where the SNSD has historically dominated assembly seats. Branko Blanuša of the opposition SDS sits at 36 percent, consistent with the party's position as the main challenger but limited by narrower polling support ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Lower-priced candidates such as Ćamil Duraković, Jusuf Arifagić, and others represent Bosniak and Croat vice-presidential contenders or minor Serb entrants, with "Other" priced at 50 percent amid the fragmented field. No major late-campaign shifts have altered the positioning in recent weeks.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,954
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.izbori.ba/
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić leads the Republika Srpska presidential race with trader consensus at 60 percent, reflecting the ruling SNSD's organizational strength and unified coalition backing announced in June 2026. As prime minister since 2025 and the party's nominee with endorsements from partners including United Srpska and the Socialist Party, Minić benefits from incumbency advantages in a Serb-majority entity where the SNSD has historically dominated assembly seats. Branko Blanuša of the opposition SDS sits at 36 percent, consistent with the party's position as the main challenger but limited by narrower polling support ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. Lower-priced candidates such as Ćamil Duraković, Jusuf Arifagić, and others represent Bosniak and Croat vice-presidential contenders or minor Serb entrants, with "Other" priced at 50 percent amid the fragmented field. No major late-campaign shifts have altered the positioning in recent weeks.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,954
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.izbori.ba/
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Savo Minić" con 60%, seguido de "Branko Blanuša" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 60¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 24, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska" es "Savo Minić" con 60%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Branko Blanuša" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones presidenciales de la República Srpska" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.