Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Cerebras IPO closing market cap heavily favors the $60B–$70B range at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the AI chipmaker's multiple price range hikes to $150–$160 per share amid 20x oversubscription, signaling robust institutional demand for its wafer-scale processors. This positions the fully diluted valuation around $40B–$50B at IPO pricing, but traders anticipate a debut-day pop fueled by 2025 revenue of $510 million (up 76% year-over-year), GAAP profitability, a $20 billion-plus OpenAI compute deal, and AWS as its first hyperscaler customer—contrasting February 2026's $23 billion private valuation. Pricing occurs today with Nasdaq debut tomorrow under ticker CBRS, where AI sector momentum could propel shares higher or trigger volatility if hype fades.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$60B–$70B 48%
$70B–$80B 18%
$50B–$60B 12%
$80B–$90B 9.4%
NEW
$83,482 Vol.
NEW
$83,482 Vol.
May 14, 2026
<$50B
7%
$50B–$60B
12%
$60B–$70B
48%
$70B–$80B
18%
$80B–$90B
9%
$90B–$100B
8%
$100B+
4%
No IPO before July 2026
<1%
$60B–$70B 48%
$70B–$80B 18%
$50B–$60B 12%
$80B–$90B 9.4%
NEW
$83,482 Vol.
NEW
$83,482 Vol.
May 14, 2026
<$50B
$26,804 Vol.
7%
$50B–$60B
$12,266 Vol.
12%
$60B–$70B
$7,800 Vol.
48%
$70B–$80B
$6,801 Vol.
18%
$80B–$90B
$3,492 Vol.
9%
$90B–$100B
$8,222 Vol.
8%
$100B+
$8,231 Vol.
4%
No IPO before July 2026
$9,967 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Cerebras IPO closing market cap heavily favors the $60B–$70B range at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the AI chipmaker's multiple price range hikes to $150–$160 per share amid 20x oversubscription, signaling robust institutional demand for its wafer-scale processors. This positions the fully diluted valuation around $40B–$50B at IPO pricing, but traders anticipate a debut-day pop fueled by 2025 revenue of $510 million (up 76% year-over-year), GAAP profitability, a $20 billion-plus OpenAI compute deal, and AWS as its first hyperscaler customer—contrasting February 2026's $23 billion private valuation. Pricing occurs today with Nasdaq debut tomorrow under ticker CBRS, where AI sector momentum could propel shares higher or trigger volatility if hype fades.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$83,482End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Cerebras IPO closing market cap heavily favors the $60B–$70B range at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the AI chipmaker's multiple price range hikes to $150–$160 per share amid 20x oversubscription, signaling robust institutional demand for its wafer-scale processors. This positions the fully diluted valuation around $40B–$50B at IPO pricing, but traders anticipate a debut-day pop fueled by 2025 revenue of $510 million (up 76% year-over-year), GAAP profitability, a $20 billion-plus OpenAI compute deal, and AWS as its first hyperscaler customer—contrasting February 2026's $23 billion private valuation. Pricing occurs today with Nasdaq debut tomorrow under ticker CBRS, where AI sector momentum could propel shares higher or trigger volatility if hype fades.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$83,482End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Cerebras IPO closing market cap heavily favors the $60B–$70B range at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the AI chipmaker's multiple price range hikes to $150–$160 per share amid 20x oversubscription, signaling robust institutional demand for its wafer-scale processors. This positions the fully diluted valuation around $40B–$50B at IPO pricing, but traders anticipate a debut-day pop fueled by 2025 revenue of $510 million (up 76% year-over-year), GAAP profitability, a $20 billion-plus OpenAI compute deal, and AWS as its first hyperscaler customer—contrasting February 2026's $23 billion private valuation. Pricing occurs today with Nasdaq debut tomorrow under ticker CBRS, where AI sector momentum could propel shares higher or trigger volatility if hype fades.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions