With primaries looming on June 30, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 92% implied probability for the open Colorado gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's D+6 partisan voting index, Democratic trifecta control, and strong historical performance in statewide contests succeeding term-limited Gov. Jared Polis. U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet leads Attorney General Phil Weiser in the Democratic primary per available polling, bolstered by endorsements from figures like Sen. John Hickenlooper and recent debates showcasing policy alignment on affordability and public safety. The Republican primary remains fragmented among State Rep. Scott Bottoms, Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer, and Victor Marx—who leads a recent GOP poll at 59%—with no dominant fundraiser emerging to challenge in the November 3 general. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, though a unified GOP surge post-primary, Democratic scandal, or national midterm wave could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedColorado Governor Election Winner
Colorado Governor Election Winner
$11,337 Vol.
$11,337 Vol.

Democrat
92%

Republican
8%
$11,337 Vol.
$11,337 Vol.

Democrat
92%

Republican
8%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With primaries looming on June 30, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 92% implied probability for the open Colorado gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's D+6 partisan voting index, Democratic trifecta control, and strong historical performance in statewide contests succeeding term-limited Gov. Jared Polis. U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet leads Attorney General Phil Weiser in the Democratic primary per available polling, bolstered by endorsements from figures like Sen. John Hickenlooper and recent debates showcasing policy alignment on affordability and public safety. The Republican primary remains fragmented among State Rep. Scott Bottoms, Sen. Barbara Kirkmeyer, and Victor Marx—who leads a recent GOP poll at 59%—with no dominant fundraiser emerging to challenge in the November 3 general. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, though a unified GOP surge post-primary, Democratic scandal, or national midterm wave could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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