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Elections·Republican Primary

Georgia Senate Republican Primary First Round Winner

icon for Georgia Senate Republican Primary First Round Winner
Elections·Republican Primary

Georgia Senate Republican Primary First Round Winner

Mike Collins 69%

Derek Dooley 33%

Earl Carter 21%

Vinson Watkins 19%

Polymarket

$1,038 Vol.

Mike Collins 69%

Derek Dooley 33%

Earl Carter 21%

Vinson Watkins 19%

Polymarket

$1,038 Vol.

Mike Collins

$0 Vol.

69%

Derek Dooley

$0 Vol.

33%

Earl Carter

$0 Vol.

21%

Vinson Watkins

$171 Vol.

19%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman

$169 Vol.

12%

Christina Loren Clement

$161 Vol.

4%

Jonathan McColumn

$198 Vol.

2%

Rick Temple

$176 Vol.

2%

Reagan Box

$163 Vol.

2%

The Georgia Republican Senate primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 19, 2026, with a runoff on June 16, 2026, if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. If no 2026 Georgia Senate Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Congressman Mike Collins maintains a clear lead in Georgia's Republican U.S. Senate primary through stronger fundraising, a recent Quantus Insights poll showing 32.6 percent support, and Governor Brian Kemp's endorsement. Derek Dooley has gained traction to second place at 22.5 percent in the same poll, while Earl "Buddy" Carter trails at 13.7 percent amid a crowded field that includes lower-polling contenders. Late April debates highlighted sparring between Collins and Carter, with Dooley staying mostly above the fray as early voting opened for the May 19 contest. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects polling trends, campaign resources, and the impact of undecided Republican primary voters on final first-round results.

The Georgia Republican Senate primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 19, 2026, with a runoff on June 16, 2026, if no candidate wins a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

If no 2026 Georgia Senate Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,038
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Georgia Republican Senate primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 19, 2026, with a runoff on June 16, 2026, if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. If no 2026 Georgia Senate Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The Georgia Republican Senate primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 19, 2026, with a runoff on June 16, 2026, if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. If no 2026 Georgia Senate Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Congressman Mike Collins maintains a clear lead in Georgia's Republican U.S. Senate primary through stronger fundraising, a recent Quantus Insights poll showing 32.6 percent support, and Governor Brian Kemp's endorsement. Derek Dooley has gained traction to second place at 22.5 percent in the same poll, while Earl "Buddy" Carter trails at 13.7 percent amid a crowded field that includes lower-polling contenders. Late April debates highlighted sparring between Collins and Carter, with Dooley staying mostly above the fray as early voting opened for the May 19 contest. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects polling trends, campaign resources, and the impact of undecided Republican primary voters on final first-round results.

The Georgia Republican Senate primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 19, 2026, with a runoff on June 16, 2026, if no candidate wins a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

If no 2026 Georgia Senate Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,038
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Georgia Republican Senate primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 19, 2026, with a runoff on June 16, 2026, if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. If no 2026 Georgia Senate Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Georgia Senate Republican Primary First Round Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Collins" at 69%, followed by "Derek Dooley" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Georgia Senate Republican Primary First Round Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Georgia Senate Republican Primary First Round Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Georgia Senate Republican Primary First Round Winner" is "Mike Collins" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Derek Dooley" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Georgia Senate Republican Primary First Round Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.