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Politics·Primaries

Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner

$32,617 Vol.

Polymarket

$32,617 Vol.

Tommy Tuberville

$21,276 Vol.

99%

Ken McFeeters

$11,342 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville holds commanding trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by recent polls showing him at 65% support amid a fragmented field including Ken McFeeters and Will Santivasci, coupled with his $12.7 million fundraising edge and statewide name recognition from his Senate incumbency and Auburn coaching legacy. A new exclusive poll reinforces this lead just days before voting, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on his path to the nomination in the open-seat race succeeding term-limited Governor Kay Ivey. Lingering residency challenges under Alabama's seven-year requirement persist, with a circuit court motion to dismiss filed by the Alabama Republican Party two days ago and a potential ruling imminent, though historical confirmation patterns favor frontrunners absent disqualifying evidence. Late scandals, health issues, or a surprise turnout surge could shift odds, but barriers remain high for challengers.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$32,617
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville holds commanding trader consensus at 98.6% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by recent polls showing him at 65% support amid a fragmented field including Ken McFeeters and Will Santivasci, coupled with his $12.7 million fundraising edge and statewide name recognition from his Senate incumbency and Auburn coaching legacy. A new exclusive poll reinforces this lead just days before voting, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on his path to the nomination in the open-seat race succeeding term-limited Governor Kay Ivey. Lingering residency challenges under Alabama's seven-year requirement persist, with a circuit court motion to dismiss filed by the Alabama Republican Party two days ago and a potential ruling imminent, though historical confirmation patterns favor frontrunners absent disqualifying evidence. Late scandals, health issues, or a surprise turnout surge could shift odds, but barriers remain high for challengers.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$32,617
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tommy Tuberville" at 99%, followed by "Ken McFeeters" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $32.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Tommy Tuberville" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ken McFeeters" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.